TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Falcons vs. Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Falconsof Falcons, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,647
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,666

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,647 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4a64…4430backed Panthers24c6,244$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.4722638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf59e…39cfbacked Falcons69c4,797$3,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.057847.4%37 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Falcons78c3,874$3,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.0214457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Panthers30c3,853$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.0712827.3%35 W · 93 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Panthers20c3,711$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.213942.4%59 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ed4…366abacked Falcons70c2,952$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.72785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick61cpaid+42.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Panthers30c2,113$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.9536246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6356…1885backed Panthers30c2,104$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.116350.8%32 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Falcons80c2,085$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.0618645.7%85 W · 101 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Panthers16c2,015$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.2716832.1%54 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Panthers30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.993540%14 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+71.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79a1…5801backed Falcons76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.6210768.2%73 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb27e…1961backed Falcons80c1,126$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.14683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Panthers28c1,080$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.4932438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4ef…974cbacked Falcons70c1,050$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.914577.8%35 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Panthers33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33020246%93 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Panthers30c1,000$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.786944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Panthers22c816.82$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.5921713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Panthers14c813.78$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0711821.2%25 W · 93 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Panthers28c763.31$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.2144246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Falcons70c700$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+38.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Panthers30c700$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-62.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd35d…7089backed Falcons75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6714452.8%76 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b0…69c8backed Falcons70c642.86$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.862857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd028…75f5backed Falcons73c612.58$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.83475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Panthers34c580.01$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.429356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200a…d498backed Falcons70c499.98$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.99977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3ed…0bb4backed Panthers23c477.84$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108321.7%18 W · 65 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc88c…6229backed Falcons71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.543100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Falcons72c400$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11438459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5e2…25f7backed Panthers10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013348.1%64 W · 69 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Panthers3c399.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1333328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0094…4551backed Falcons70c390.34$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.542466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31e0…0bc0backed Falcons72c389.08$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.941080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x901d…9c8ebacked Falcons71c370.99$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.59966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Panthers9c355.76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0152828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aaa…28d6backed Panthers28c354.61$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4170…7e1bbacked Falcons71c346.34$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.44450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Falcons71c345$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0519864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5000…166ebacked Panthers30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Panthers29c332.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5720736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0328…d834backed Panthers30c298.16$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.859747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf59…1e7fbacked Panthers30c293.68$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x141c…16ebbacked Falcons76c289.78$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.352378.3%18 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick67cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe222…7643backed Falcons71c286.9$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.21747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2203…6f7bbacked Panthers20c264.08$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.831618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Falcons72c259.39$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6313260.6%80 W · 52 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Panthers21c252.91$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7525643.8%112 W · 144 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdec6…a3c7backed Panthers30c233.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf7…d46abacked Panthers30c233.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x293a…0009backed Panthers30c229.88$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc725…dfd7backed Panthers30c227.75$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe897…513ebacked Panthers20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.56354%34 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6019…f460backed Panthers31c197.74$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.31560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9693…07c3backed Falcons72c190.28$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2811949.6%59 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Panthers17c175.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305754.4%31 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7882…b86abacked Panthers17c153$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.31216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Falcons70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862777.8%21 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0353…9741backed Falcons70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5697…cddfbacked Falcons70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862871.4%20 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd540…d692backed Falcons71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82e…2284backed Falcons71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.852445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bd7…c1f3backed Falcons70c140$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.410052%52 W · 48 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1631…48f7backed Panthers30c140$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2376…30f5backed Falcons72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8910452.9%55 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a49…6681backed Panthers30c137.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.31020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-71%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22b8…7b6ebacked Falcons71c118$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2217060.6%103 W · 67 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…c24bbacked Panthers30c113$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Falcons69c110.68$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3111346.9%53 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb493…642fbacked Falcons72c102.53$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…8ae3backed Panthers24c101.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.952536%9 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Panthers30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028436.3%103 W · 181 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Falcons70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3037556.3%211 W · 164 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x541e…e793backed Panthers31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a05…e4b8backed Panthers20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6f6…8afbbacked Panthers30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9488…6802backed Panthers29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb65d…3757backed Falcons70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96fa…baadbacked Panthers15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15219.5%2 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-60%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb8b…b7fcbacked Falcons70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47dc…eec9backed Falcons71c99.21$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.215671.4%40 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Panthers29c99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7126331.6%83 W · 180 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ad…2693backed Falcons66c98.48$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.483764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57fa…51c4backed Falcons71c98.3$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.33256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbe1…5677backed Falcons73c94.64$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.596553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x660f…ec30backed Falcons55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.916848.5%33 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a1e…57edbacked Panthers30c89.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0355…4c8cbacked Falcons58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.213243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc465…fcfbbacked Falcons71c84.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5120758%120 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e91…b801backed Panthers30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245034%17 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc9…3b7abacked Falcons72c78.71$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.049754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6678…d4b6backed Falcons72c69.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7518144.8%81 W · 100 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Panthers19c68.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135945.8%27 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4124…fe54backed Falcons70c64.29$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.294261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xceea…8c07backed Panthers28c63.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.899645.8%44 W · 52 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08e2…e186backed Falcons71c62.96$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.967448.6%36 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc964…8411backed Falcons71c62.87$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.235362.3%33 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Falcons55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2731032.6%101 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc412…592dbacked Falcons72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145158.8%30 W · 21 L+9.4wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+23.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x851b…13c4backed Panthers30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+31.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.