Champions League · resolved market
Will Celtic beat Slovan Bratislava?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29acbd30e1a2478c02e75f23796e55f8ce182f358a57ca7f4ca3d3310ea0aeb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 22c | 5,219$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.23 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 78c | 5,170$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 25c | 1,829$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.86 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 74c | 1,400$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.58 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…456cbacked Yes | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7724…7e7abacked Yes | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes | 74c | 640.54$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…c07abacked No | 26c | 388.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 74c | 238.46$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 27c | 204.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 79c | 127.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5697…cddfbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…93dfbacked Yes | 77c | 116.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +259.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…2be5backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 25c | 98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…e521backed Yes | 77c | 66.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d8…3083backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…8aacbacked Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ea…158dbacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…a9a0backed Yes | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celtic beat Slovan Bratislava?this page
- Will Celtic vs. Slovan Bratislava end in a draw?No won
- Will Slovan Bratislava beat Celtic?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.