NFL · resolved market
Bengals vs. Patriots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb660bc7638057be462e8a0a5d902e4a4067165ecc478128e2722aa430c29dc4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patriotsof Bengals, Patriots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Patriots | 29c | 22,953$6,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,326.04 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Bengals | 78c | 20,000$15,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,549.98 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Patriots | 23c | 14,163$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,905.46 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Bengals | 77c | 9,000$6,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,929.98 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc34…ff67backed Patriots | 50c | 7,674$3,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,817.79 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…2549backed Bengals | 78c | 5,021$3,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,916.93 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ce…d06dbacked Bengals | 78c | 3,917$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054.99 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…b93fbacked Bengals | 78c | 3,860$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.89 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Patriots | 22c | 3,652$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.93 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…e314backed Bengals | 37c | 3,514$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Bengals | 62c | 2,968$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.39 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Bengals | 77c | 2,900$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.99 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e8…ce3bbacked Bengals | 77c | 2,797$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Bengals | 78c | 2,550$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Bengals | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Bengals | 79c | 1,999$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.59 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Patriots | 21c | 1,735$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.86 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed Patriots | 22c | 1,600$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Bengals | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed Bengals | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Bengals | 36c | 1,373$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.34 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Patriots | 73c | 1,279$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.29 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f53…1081backed Bengals | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Bengals | 30c | 1,206$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.83 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Bengals | 78c | 1,195$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.24 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Bengals | 78c | 1,100$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Bengals | 78c | 1,025$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.5 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Bengals | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…5692backed Bengals | 70c | 1,000$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Patriots | 48c | 774.08$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.88 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Bengals | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…f3d2backed Bengals | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Bengals | 78c | 640$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…8fa0backed Bengals | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Bengals | 78c | 622$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.94 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…5d7fbacked Bengals | 37c | 600$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…e05cbacked Bengals | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.2 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…ff37backed Bengals | 79c | 591.86$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…2993backed Bengals | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…65adbacked Bengals | 79c | 504.13$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…c728backed Patriots | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Patriots | 48c | 398$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.37 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Bengals | 35c | 392$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.06 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Bengals | 78c | 325$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.5 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Bengals | 19c | 310.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Bengals | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc5…38d9backed Bengals | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…047fbacked Bengals | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Bengals | 74c | 281$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.1 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…1b0fbacked Bengals | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Bengals | 25c | 277.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…0dfabacked Bengals | 78c | 260.63$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Patriots | 23c | 250$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Bengals | 27c | 233.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…8e39backed Bengals | 78c | 225$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 56cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Bengals | 78c | 222$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.79 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0895…8273backed Bengals | 78c | 219.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Bengals | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Bengals | 46c | 200.19$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f3bdbacked Bengals | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…3f92backed Bengals | 78c | 198.72$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…28a0backed Patriots | 22c | 195.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…b2a7backed Bengals | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1245…075fbacked Bengals | 29c | 152.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…35a8backed Patriots | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Patriots | 22c | 130.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bengals | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Bengals | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Bengals | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d8…7807backed Patriots | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Bengals | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…3ababacked Patriots | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed Patriots | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5178…f7dcbacked Bengals | 78c | 99.64$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d43…d842backed Bengals | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3d…3533backed Bengals | 54c | 92.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Bengals | 35c | 74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…e69cbacked Bengals | 78c | 68.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe5…f089backed Patriots | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed Bengals | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Bengals | 44c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…c3abbacked Bengals | 37c | 59.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49de…4dc5backed Bengals | 67c | 52.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5697…cddfbacked Bengals | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Bengals | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Bengals | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478c…1c81backed Bengals | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…e0acbacked Bengals | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a22…dd3bbacked Patriots | 23c | 46.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…3f5abacked Bengals | 80c | 41.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Bengals | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed Bengals | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Bengals | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Bengals | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Bengals | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…f990backed Bengals | 80c | 23.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3959…a574backed Bengals | 78c | 19.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e39…9ca2backed Bengals | 78c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2e…8b5dbacked Bengals | 79c | 17.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…65b0backed Bengals | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.