NFL · resolved market
Patriots vs. Seahawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe65e20750773b7d1d006b90697b0affc8946cbc673c4f921b08f14f8fc70ad3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Patriots, Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Patriots | 40c | 20,300$8,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,120 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Seahawks | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed Patriots | 38c | 6,069$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.1 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…79eabacked Patriots | 40c | 5,855$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Seahawks | 61c | 3,566$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.61 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Seahawks | 61c | 3,382$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.12 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Seahawks | 60c | 2,236$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.27 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Seahawks | 60c | 1,363$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.36 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Patriots | 38c | 1,232$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.84 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Patriots | 2c | 1,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +209.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Seahawks | 53c | 1,000$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a3…cc69backed Seahawks | 55c | 945.44$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.36 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Seahawks | 52c | 896.77$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.62 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8244…7a11backed Seahawks | 57c | 864.21$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Seahawks | 64c | 817.75$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.16 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked Patriots | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 2cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…4c76backed Seahawks | 62c | 739.02$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…67dbbacked Seahawks | 67c | 706.12$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.51 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Patriots | 37c | 685.63$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.68 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0731…ec6dbacked Patriots | 39c | 576.92$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 57cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Seahawks | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…029ebacked Patriots | 46c | 413.17$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Patriots | 38c | 348.42$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.4 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Patriots | 38c | 330$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Seahawks | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…79b7backed Seahawks | 63c | 321$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Seahawks | 60c | 310$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe395…2a72backed Patriots | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x552b…4bd3backed Patriots | 39c | 257.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed Patriots | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Patriots | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Seahawks | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed Seahawks | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Patriots | 42c | 243.6$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.01 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Seahawks | 62c | 214.09$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.35 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Patriots | 28c | 211.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…02f9backed Seahawks | 72c | 202.74$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Seahawks | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Patriots | 24c | 194.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Seahawks | 43c | 174.85$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Seahawks | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…79c6backed Patriots | 41c | 151.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Patriots | 31c | 146$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5697…cddfbacked Seahawks | 79c | 140.53$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Patriots | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…63d5backed Seahawks | 63c | 126.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Patriots | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…664dbacked Patriots | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Seahawks | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Patriots | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d8…7807backed Patriots | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a62…778ebacked Patriots | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +236.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…3ababacked Patriots | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…b987backed Patriots | 24c | 92.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…f0f2backed Patriots | 29c | 86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…e305backed Patriots | 37c | 81.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Seahawks | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c3…ab95backed Seahawks | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…a490backed Patriots | 40c | 66.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Seahawks | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b4…951dbacked Patriots | 39c | 58.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4f…ff6ebacked Patriots | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Patriots | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Patriots | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Patriots | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…4a5abacked Patriots | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe96e…3254backed Patriots | 47c | 42.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504d…f77dbacked Seahawks | 50c | 41.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Patriots | 40c | 40.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed Seahawks | 70c | 37.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…e05cbacked Patriots | 52c | 34.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cab…6817backed Seahawks | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…a83bbacked Seahawks | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc7…5eb9backed Patriots | 37c | 29.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…14b1backed Seahawks | 65c | 25.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Seahawks | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc0…0f20backed Seahawks | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +1,059.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Seahawks | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…9e34backed Seahawks | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.