TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Seahawks vs. Broncos

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seahawksof Seahawks, Broncos
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,685
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,277

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,685 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a14…0762backed Broncos37c24,513$9,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,044.510239.2%40 W · 62 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x741e…2f80backed Seahawks53c20,161$10,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,430.88933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed Seahawks71c11,969$8,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,470.992250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Broncos30c8,865$2,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.9125137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Broncos44c4,561$2,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,010.5812843.8%56 W · 72 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed Broncos11c4,036$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.963030%9 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid+81.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8ba…a286backed Broncos40c3,763$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.13627.8%10 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Seahawks70c2,838$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.1636246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e0…fe50backed Seahawks70c2,200$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66010960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e2b…8fa0backed Seahawks67c2,047$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.411233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-49.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Seahawks71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58034349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Broncos46c1,989$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.6217823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Seahawks68c1,891$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.0632438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…e17ebacked Broncos29c1,835$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.189240.2%37 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Broncos4c1,142$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6721713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xed7c…da06backed Broncos32c1,051$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.414634.8%16 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcede…f2f6backed Broncos32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3209022.2%20 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick23cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182b…f022backed Broncos31c999.96$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.9910246.1%47 W · 55 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe91…70ffbacked Broncos30c912.98$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.8913751.8%71 W · 66 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb27d…fc9cbacked Seahawks72c849.51$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.273060%18 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Broncos14c820.25$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4216832.1%54 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3195…a94fbacked Seahawks71c778$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.623455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Broncos29c777$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.334143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Seahawks67c723.25$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.8618645.7%85 W · 101 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0895…8273backed Seahawks66c646.75$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.711353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0416…2993backed Broncos40c638.3$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-70.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Broncos31c610$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.120736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Seahawks75c554.98$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.245955.9%33 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Broncos37c517.52$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.2820440.7%83 W · 121 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6727…db84backed Seahawks69c516.5$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.452548%12 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf59e…39cfbacked Seahawks61c500.31$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.187847.4%37 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8b5…e05cbacked Broncos29c450.35$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.963036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Broncos48c431.78$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.1612022.5%27 W · 93 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77cf…0e71backed Seahawks71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.543351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x501a…d46dbacked Broncos42c416.67$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.05633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-53%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Broncos29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11629356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Seahawks72c385.25$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.824348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ea…ba4abacked Broncos30c364.9$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.472842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfb…0dfabacked Seahawks72c361.11$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.111346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe897…513ebacked Seahawks66c360$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.46354%34 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9693…07c3backed Broncos30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011949.6%59 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Broncos41c319.98$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.191650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…1095backed Seahawks71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9c3…ab95backed Seahawks65c273.4$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.781735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Broncos33c271.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.633047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Broncos45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.520246%93 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Broncos41c247.65$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.14454.5%24 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Broncos31c222$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8211839%46 W · 72 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Broncos46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ab2…6435backed Seahawks63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741942.1%8 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.23per pick65cpaid-33.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Seahawks68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6416139.1%63 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Broncos49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9822838.6%88 W · 140 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fb1…36f3backed Seahawks52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.313450%17 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c6e…d36abacked Seahawks64c170.61$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Seahawks60c150$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.523351.9%121 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa69f…6874backed Broncos31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.57338.4%28 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5697…cddfbacked Seahawks71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.852871.4%20 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Broncos29c140.02$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6133328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67bf…2c27backed Broncos12c128.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15378.1%3 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-48.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Broncos35c116.92$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9223937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcec3…53a1backed Seahawks72c111.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.112250%11 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Seahawks59c106$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9531439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61bb…e54bbacked Broncos50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452050%10 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5c5…f001backed Broncos39c89.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd33a…2cc4backed Broncos31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255232.7%17 W · 35 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-38.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x348a…9dd0backed Seahawks61c79.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d43…d842backed Seahawks65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Seahawks68c74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.689946.5%46 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x007a…7f5ebacked Seahawks71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…1de4backed Broncos30c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211147.9%9 W · 105 L-10.2wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-62.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc910…5e8dbacked Seahawks68c66$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.121553.3%8 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick32cpaid+53.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4f4…de57backed Broncos32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf05…70dabacked Broncos32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014763.9%94 W · 53 L+12.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7ce…c3abbacked Broncos35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3598…5b3fbacked Seahawks70c58.9$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b36…acebbacked Seahawks53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.63256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Seahawks67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.524738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5574…6424backed Broncos30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a62…778ebacked Seahawks72c48.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.543650%18 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+236.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbae7…836bbacked Seahawks70c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc465…fcfbbacked Seahawks70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8620758%120 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63f1…6272backed Broncos44c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.43540%14 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab26…9656backed Seahawks58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d80…ee8ebacked Broncos32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0d…0d16backed Broncos32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7c8…24dcbacked Broncos39c29.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2520557.6%118 W · 87 L+16.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x02a1…3f08backed Seahawks69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9912951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc507…f6a2backed Seahawks69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbea9…02f9backed Seahawks72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.783366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa15b…30f1backed Seahawks64c23.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.545341.5%22 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda67…b950backed Seahawks62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.67640.8%31 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd795…4cc3backed Seahawks69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.65977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc0…0f20backed Seahawks70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.51050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+1,059.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fbc…b5c9backed Seahawks70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.52356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Seahawks71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.358250%41 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.