TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Jets vs. Patriots

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Jets, Patriots
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$678,907
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$612,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $678,907 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f47…af93backed Jets73c126,627$92,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,449.485846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Patriots28c110,140$30,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,623.6112051.7%62 W · 58 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Patriots17c69,991$11,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,742.8925137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Patriots29c54,873$15,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,913.145123.5%12 W · 39 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-37.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6356…1885backed Jets71c50,000$35,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,499.996350.8%32 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b9e…74aebacked Patriots30c38,995$11,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,645.264621.7%10 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8c…abbabacked Patriots30c30,596$9,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,135.477153.5%38 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Jets72c28,400$20,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,9529949.5%49 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Patriots1c28,049$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.2917823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Patriots0c22,309$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.111821.2%25 W · 93 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47bc…c043backed Patriots8c20,000$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.416734.3%23 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Patriots2c19,595$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.5833328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0180…e452backed Patriots4c18,287$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.993228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe91…70ffbacked Jets78c13,126$10,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,903.6713751.8%71 W · 66 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Jets72c7,659$5,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,144.477541.3%31 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32d0…2418backed Patriots3c6,460$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.79175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick9cpaid+17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c8…7407backed Jets72c6,282$4,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.071560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ec…5d8ebacked Jets71c6,030$4,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7491973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Jets71c5,725$4,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.3436246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Jets70c5,377$3,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.035433.3%18 W · 36 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb866…36d4backed Patriots28c3,546$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.963336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Patriots28c3,369$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.1912827.3%35 W · 93 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca9d…07f7backed Jets75c3,233$2,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.251233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Jets70c3,105$2,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.4118645.7%85 W · 101 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Patriots28c2,731$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.6632438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4510…0adbbacked Patriots29c2,254$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…c276backed Patriots28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1d1…1e37backed Patriots29c1,931$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Patriots28c1,635$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.1416036.3%58 W · 102 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Patriots27c1,572$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.426844.1%30 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Patriots12c1,555$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.196944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Jets73c1,434$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.239754.6%53 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d3…ea4ebacked Patriots9c1,163$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.97248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-84.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Jets71c1,119$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.9211839%46 W · 72 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Patriots3c1,100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3112842.2%54 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbc…2d01backed Patriots4c1,067$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Patriots28c1,047$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.4710738.3%41 W · 66 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jets70c1,015$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.2977052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Patriots30c1,011$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013040%52 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Jets73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2707054.3%38 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3ee4…3ababacked Patriots28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802330.4%7 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Jets71c933.9$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.832839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Patriots20c884.04$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3812934.9%45 W · 84 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Patriots10c785.87$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1621713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0545…4e37backed Jets72c758.86$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.773815.8%6 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-74.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Patriots28c750$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2108234.1%28 W · 54 L-10.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Patriots8c670.01$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.514330.2%13 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc626…2beabacked Patriots30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+55.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9479…ba7abacked Patriots2c646.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.24540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+61.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Jets72c609.12$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.5517144.4%76 W · 95 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb610…a580backed Patriots18c600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-51.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77cf…0e71backed Jets70c571$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.33351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Jets71c554.4$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.934143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8069…be50backed Patriots30c516.67$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91df…c5cfbacked Patriots18c508.69$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904126.8%11 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Patriots27c500$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13723937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc711…d3c6backed Jets70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.46per pick42cpaid+142.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Jets70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15011346.9%53 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…580fbacked Jets70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15010434.6%36 W · 68 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa20…fd0dbacked Jets71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1452070%14 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a14…0762backed Patriots29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14510239.2%40 W · 62 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08e2…e186backed Patriots29c499.79$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1457448.6%36 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c30…876fbacked Patriots27c493.26$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ba…f903backed Patriots10c455.81$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Patriots28c450$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12619436.6%71 W · 123 L-14.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49ce…b599backed Patriots28c439.64$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1216743.3%29 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb125…cb78backed Patriots27c425.37$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.855729.8%17 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49de…4dc5backed Jets71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.543253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Jets73c417.65$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7720736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x706d…c051backed Patriots30c416.67$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…b931backed Jets71c416.37$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8156…98a9backed Patriots30c410.93$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.28425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-59%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0fc…3db0backed Patriots29c403.45$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+89.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Jets72c400$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.65955.9%33 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f05…455fbacked Jets71c380.97$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.482835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1eb…7afebacked Jets72c380$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.42642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9693…07c3backed Patriots29c379.31$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11011949.6%59 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Jets75c375$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7523351.9%121 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ab…60c2backed Patriots28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-41.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2376…30f5backed Patriots7c356.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510452.9%55 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Patriots4c355$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5552828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Patriots30c353.93$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.186518.5%12 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-50.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe0e…68e6backed Jets72c348.05$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.451957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7077…e94dbacked Patriots28c346.79$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.11330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1823…b0fcbacked Patriots29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Patriots30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006841.2%28 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8189…dad2backed Patriots30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+60.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb36…c107backed Jets75c315$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.351573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedd5…63a1backed Patriots19c309.52$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015858.9%93 W · 65 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Patriots30c300$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8929356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb620…dd7abacked Patriots30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb9b…044abacked Jets72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6b0…8ff4backed Patriots29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Patriots30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9016439.6%65 W · 99 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe29…63e5backed Jets72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96fa…baadbacked Patriots4c285.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6219.5%2 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-60%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4593…2e8cbacked Jets71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed47…faf5backed Jets71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.69862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63f1…6272backed Patriots28c275$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.53540%14 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ce2…0d75backed Jets72c273$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.