NFL · resolved market
Falcons vs. Steelers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf9e9ec65dde46de974233c8521c11900ed79c5d5a7efa7f5e057a799e6ac075
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Steelersof Falcons, Steelers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Steelers | 37c | 24,066$8,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,252.79 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Falcons | 63c | 16,446$10,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,325.51 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Falcons | 63c | 12,665$7,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,946.96 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Falcons | 65c | 8,572$5,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,571.8 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Steelers | 37c | 6,791$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,245.82 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Falcons | 61c | 6,758$4,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,124.3 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…2549backed Steelers | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Steelers | 48c | 4,642$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Steelers | 38c | 4,306$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.03 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc34…ff67backed Falcons | 63c | 4,200$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650.21 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed Falcons | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…861ebacked Falcons | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Steelers | 36c | 3,273$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.7 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Falcons | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Steelers | 72c | 2,682$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.34 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Steelers | 36c | 2,548$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.72 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Falcons | 59c | 2,221$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.39 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed Steelers | 32c | 2,029$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.15 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01e8…ce3bbacked Falcons | 68c | 1,994$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…e05cbacked Falcons | 50c | 1,800$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.77 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Falcons | 41c | 1,645$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.39 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Steelers | 35c | 1,600$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.59 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4f…89b5backed Falcons | 41c | 1,190$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Steelers | 38c | 1,078$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.05 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…0540backed Falcons | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Steelers | 41c | 963.53$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.48 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Steelers | 38c | 888$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.97 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Falcons | 29c | 865.14$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.12 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…a8f1backed Falcons | 41c | 678$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.39 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28eb…fd31backed Steelers | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Falcons | 63c | 472.92$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.94 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Steelers | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…79eabacked Falcons | 64c | 383.65$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…43b2backed Steelers | 35c | 343$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x818d…282cbacked Falcons | 64c | 336.19$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +155.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Steelers | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc5…38d9backed Steelers | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Falcons | 11c | 297.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c5…f001backed Steelers | 43c | 288.73$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Steelers | 36c | 277.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.76 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Steelers | 37c | 271$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.73 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Steelers | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Steelers | 39c | 260$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.9 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Falcons | 65c | 250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Falcons | 62c | 243.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed Falcons | 65c | 227.69$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc395…5c8cbacked Falcons | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Falcons | 64c | 199.43$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.63 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3af0…2f0bbacked Falcons | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Steelers | 36c | 152.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Falcons | 66c | 150$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…8e39backed Falcons | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 56cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Falcons | 68c | 108.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Falcons | 59c | 102.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…aee3backed Steelers | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…6ff1backed Steelers | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb818…bc56backed Falcons | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Falcons | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Falcons | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…f0f2backed Steelers | 28c | 90$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…d7dcbacked Falcons | 63c | 80.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…bb41backed Falcons | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Steelers | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a8…a04bbacked Steelers | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…5009backed Falcons | 65c | 58.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5658…e253backed Falcons | 63c | 56.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e2…d2f3backed Steelers | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe5…f089backed Steelers | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…095fbacked Falcons | 36c | 55.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…f8e2backed Steelers | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Steelers | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5697…cddfbacked Falcons | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f18…8719backed Steelers | 41c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…9c5fbacked Steelers | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…2cc4backed Falcons | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e39…9ca2backed Steelers | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…b098backed Steelers | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed Falcons | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…45a9backed Falcons | 63c | 35.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b85…91c9backed Falcons | 63c | 33.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ad…70a2backed Steelers | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3959…a574backed Falcons | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Steelers | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fe…5c52backed Steelers | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x119a…2c89backed Falcons | 68c | 24.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…ee3dbacked Falcons | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac1…71ebbacked Steelers | 64c | 23.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe014…996ebacked Falcons | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.