College Football · resolved market
Will Nebraska beat Colorado?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79141f22e75fcb5e0c896f5b726049c0095546e1a2b9688273eeeafbbd1c6750
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nebraskaof Nebraska, Colorado
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1eed…b15cbacked Colorado | 16c | 18,500$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Colorado | 8c | 9,845$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.32 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nebraska | 68c | 8,719$5,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.73 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…406abacked Nebraska | 69c | 3,852$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Colorado | 5c | 1,815$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Colorado | 29c | 1,595$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…5692backed Nebraska | 71c | 1,400$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked Colorado | 23c | 1,008$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Colorado | 31c | 999.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4975…c492backed Nebraska | 70c | 923.69$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.87 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Colorado | 32c | 637.16$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.96 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…6434backed Colorado | 34c | 500$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…2ec0backed Colorado | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Colorado | 31c | 426.4$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.18 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…e1cbbacked Nebraska | 67c | 417.91$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Nebraska | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Nebraska | 67c | 325$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Nebraska | 77c | 322$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.28 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Nebraska | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…b987backed Colorado | 6c | 275$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed Nebraska | 69c | 208.12$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.52 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Colorado | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Colorado | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe5…f089backed Colorado | 34c | 120.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5697…cddfbacked Nebraska | 69c | 104.35$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…d333backed Colorado | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Nebraska | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed Colorado | 12c | 99.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…5ce5backed Colorado | 15c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438d…3ec8backed Nebraska | 67c | 60.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49de…4dc5backed Nebraska | 68c | 57.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0e…3247backed Nebraska | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…3ce8backed Colorado | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…02f9backed Nebraska | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Nebraska | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Nebraska | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nebraska beat Colorado?this page
- Will Nebraska win by 7 or more points?Yes won
- Will there be 56 or more combined points scored?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.