College Football · resolved market
Will Tennessee beat Oklahoma?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58ca461ad9801e51d2aec11a41ce0ad27f42097ea30960f1acc4bd6f93564932
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennesseeof Tennessee, Oklahoma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Oklahoma | 37c | 24,113$8,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,819.38 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Tennessee | 69c | 16,804$11,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,241.54 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Tennessee | 64c | 5,243$3,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.14 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Oklahoma | 12c | 2,690$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.5 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Tennessee | 69c | 2,232$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.85 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Tennessee | 63c | 1,733$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.92 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Oklahoma | 9c | 1,700$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.9 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Oklahoma | 29c | 1,200$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Oklahoma | 18c | 1,149$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.99 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Tennessee | 69c | 1,013$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.1 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…b987backed Oklahoma | 22c | 815.01$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.47 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Tennessee | 75c | 767$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1eb…7afebacked Tennessee | 78c | 645$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed Oklahoma | 32c | 631.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Oklahoma | 32c | 612.24$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Tennessee | 68c | 584.04$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.74 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed Tennessee | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac34…2c89backed Tennessee | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Oklahoma | 9c | 401.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…9e34backed Oklahoma | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Oklahoma | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Tennessee | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Tennessee | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Tennessee | 64c | 220$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbd…3c7abacked Tennessee | 72c | 209.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Oklahoma | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Tennessee | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…c29abacked Oklahoma | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Tennessee | 69c | 161$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0a…832abacked Tennessee | 74c | 150.52$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Tennessee | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5697…cddfbacked Tennessee | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…095fbacked Tennessee | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb67…970abacked Tennessee | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Oklahoma | 30c | 122.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Tennessee | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d56…d62ebacked Oklahoma | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…c328backed Oklahoma | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22bf…782dbacked Tennessee | 70c | 75.66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…5924backed Tennessee | 72c | 68.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b27…ed84backed Tennessee | 72c | 68.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Oklahoma | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55e…3aecbacked Oklahoma | 31c | 58.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Oklahoma | 26c | 56.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ba…1967backed Oklahoma | 27c | 53.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5616…a88cbacked Tennessee | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Tennessee | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Oklahoma | 31c | 43.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed Oklahoma | 33c | 37.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Oklahoma | 32c | 37.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5642…60c8backed Tennessee | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8d…3ee3backed Tennessee | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3c…1613backed Tennessee | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tennessee beat Oklahoma?this page
- Will Tennessee beat Oklahoma by 7 or more points?Yes won
- Will there be 58 or more combined points scored?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.