Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton beat Chelsea?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98a08f6c560318c3d6a3912eea107dd0ba592492b1291d13901574aceb5e82b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 23c | 9,067$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.75 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 77c | 6,417$4,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.99 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 72c | 2,406$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.76 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,607$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.46 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 77c | 1,460$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.75 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5338…c5a5backed No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe204…96b1backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…b2f4backed Yes | 52c | 955.61$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…ffcebacked Yes | 2c | 955.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 77c | 750.24$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.56 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…2549backed Yes | 22c | 747.54$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.44 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a78…8ed1backed Yes | 9c | 555$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c1…4586backed No | 79c | 525.2$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51c…502dbacked No | 79c | 370$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…83eabacked Yes | 22c | 366.4$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…1988backed No | 80c | 325$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f4…f9f7backed Yes | 33c | 299.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd122…11e0backed No | 78c | 262.77$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cab…f4ecbacked Yes | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 21c | 245.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 20c | 225.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 77c | 177.1$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce62…73d5backed Yes | 23c | 170$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bca…0e4abacked Yes | 23c | 149.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…2be5backed No | 78c | 127.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe51b…d02bbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5697…cddfbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3362…8cb4backed Yes | 23c | 117.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…9047backed Yes | 23c | 105.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…664ebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 57c | 96.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…00aabacked Yes | 23c | 95.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…c75fbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…1dfebacked Yes | 23c | 73.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1601…e195backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…1770backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd37…256ebacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bab…4d7dbacked Yes | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd230…7cdfbacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff42…83e5backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton beat Chelsea?this page
- Will Chelsea beat Brighton?Yes won
- Will Chelsea vs. Brighton end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.