Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea vs. Brighton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a8802c452b356581549caaad6f8009db7b548bb8885ed4ef9f2cbcabf98316c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 24c | 1,526$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.73 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…0218backed No | 77c | 1,300$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…0420backed Yes | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 76c | 1,222$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.33 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 76c | 1,118$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.95 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 23c | 543.47$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca49…71e2backed Yes | 24c | 487.5$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…998dbacked Yes | 24c | 463.08$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.14 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 75c | 219.43$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…0a62backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.6wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…edfbbacked Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe51b…d02bbacked Yes | 25c | 159.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…2549backed No | 77c | 129$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3813…3287backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…1402backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…9047backed Yes | 23c | 105.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…b0debacked Yes | 23c | 95.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 76c | 90.21$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…10d5backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f9f5backed Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…a6d5backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…4cd5backed Yes | 24c | 54.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed No | 79c | 25.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea vs. Brighton end in a draw?this page
- Will Brighton beat Chelsea?No won
- Will Chelsea beat Brighton?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.