TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Buccaneers vs. Broncos

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Broncosof Buccaneers, Broncos
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,720
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,024

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,720 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked Broncos29c22,074$6,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,734.2812051.7%62 W · 58 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Buccaneers71c6,528$4,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,634.9225137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Broncos55c5,884$3,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,625.7144246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Buccaneers27c5,274$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.2822638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Buccaneers71c5,000$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,550.0612827.3%35 W · 93 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Broncos29c5,000$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,55036246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x134d…8da9backed Buccaneers72c4,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,88010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf86d…e314backed Buccaneers73c3,973$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Buccaneers71c3,108$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.8532438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe91…70ffbacked Buccaneers72c2,340$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.3913751.8%71 W · 66 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cfa…a0dabacked Buccaneers46c2,261$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0461580%12 W · 3 L+5.4wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+111.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Buccaneers72c2,090$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.819864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Broncos26c1,744$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.8316036.3%58 W · 102 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6356…1885backed Broncos72c1,661$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.56350.8%32 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bb4…a9bdbacked Broncos69c1,612$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.332454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77cf…0e71backed Buccaneers74c1,572$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1633351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x651f…c190backed Broncos29c1,500$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Buccaneers28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42010334%35 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Broncos76c963$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.7512022.5%27 W · 93 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Buccaneers51c920.18$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.3225643.8%112 W · 144 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0895…8273backed Buccaneers34c847.72$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.481353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Broncos27c836.7$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.797541.3%31 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Broncos29c794.31$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.9618645.7%85 W · 101 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Broncos56c778.91$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.3314457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc31c…7830backed Broncos69c747$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.573100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c2…0a62backed Broncos80c599.99$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.48988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick63cpaid+46%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Buccaneers12c579.82$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9312842.2%54 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8311…a7dcbacked Buccaneers73c566.48$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.53560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+44%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9d…a6d7backed Buccaneers72c555.56$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Buccaneers71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3553652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Buccaneers32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16023937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e1…921ebacked Broncos76c428.27$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.683063.3%19 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06db…5244backed Broncos29c420.69$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.69633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30f…a161backed Buccaneers72c416.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x213c…92eebacked Buccaneers60c372.42$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2254269%29 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9693…07c3backed Broncos29c372.41$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.4111949.6%59 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8189…dad2backed Broncos28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.14862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+60.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3240…5d25backed Buccaneers72c354.17$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0523…ace5backed Broncos29c351.72$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0545…4e37backed Broncos73c350.26$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.053815.8%6 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-74.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Buccaneers34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10217823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Broncos28c299.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.9816139.1%63 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Buccaneers73c284.22$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.4812249.2%60 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…2e62backed Buccaneers72c282.22$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.21346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Buccaneers72c278.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.266050%30 W · 30 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Buccaneers20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020246%93 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Buccaneers24c217$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.952828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ab2…6435backed Buccaneers72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441942.1%8 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.23per pick65cpaid-33.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Broncos28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14416832.1%54 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Buccaneers72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1445955.9%33 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Buccaneers72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1446944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622c…c68fbacked Buccaneers53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-80.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Buccaneers70c199.99$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14141540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x799b…362dbacked Broncos51c196.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.86933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f7d…4feabacked Buccaneers72c187.59$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.064656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a91…65a6backed Buccaneers28c180.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1347…d256backed Broncos29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.412060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2b…8fa0backed Buccaneers59c170.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-49.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0deb…2549backed Broncos60c167.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa987…365fbacked Buccaneers57c159.27$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.991450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5697…cddfbacked Broncos80c150.8$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.82871.4%20 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b5…9f1ebacked Broncos30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x65b6…ab99backed Buccaneers14c139.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Buccaneers72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023351.9%121 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefdf…97edbacked Buccaneers72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a12…01cebacked Broncos74c137$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.994351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1243…fb64backed Broncos71c123.31$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.71580%12 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc5f…2f0dbacked Buccaneers71c120$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Buccaneers71c111$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.184143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fbc…2565backed Broncos29c109.83$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.982045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Broncos62c109.78$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.221713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6727…db84backed Buccaneers55c103.53$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.462548%12 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86d3…5679backed Broncos78c103.42$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0232…9391backed Buccaneers73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7310256.9%58 W · 44 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Broncos29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7120632%66 W · 140 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f30…52f3backed Broncos74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick73cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27f…91d6backed Buccaneers72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-7.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Broncos28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7211945.4%54 W · 65 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Buccaneers72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728960.7%54 W · 35 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7173…7d75backed Broncos28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f6…c328backed Buccaneers27c98.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc5…9cf9backed Buccaneers72c93.37$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.236041.7%25 W · 35 L-7.0wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1514…2624backed Broncos74c91$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.662343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9311…bac1backed Broncos28c89.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa862…586bbacked Buccaneers73c89.25$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd05…0100backed Broncos28c85.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe842…7c04backed Buccaneers73c85.67$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91b3…e69cbacked Buccaneers73c81.23$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.31540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc465…fcfbbacked Buccaneers74c81.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020758%120 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Broncos29c80$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.828436.3%103 W · 181 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Buccaneers72c75.57$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4111839%46 W · 72 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2210…36b0backed Buccaneers73c75.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-53.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb55e…3aecbacked Broncos27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.071361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick39cpaid+96.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd17a…8eaabacked Broncos29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.974918.4%9 W · 40 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b25…a49ebacked Broncos29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.97757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Broncos29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.974744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+35.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf168…5725backed Buccaneers73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08e2…e186backed Buccaneers71c68.32$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.517448.6%36 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ee5…b0dcbacked Buccaneers72c66.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.841020%2 W · 8 L-3.7wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-69.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x648c…09c6backed Buccaneers71c65$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.155137.3%19 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.