La Liga · resolved market
Real Oviedo vs. Osasuna: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03a86b641fb06fcd404c201071bcc93e0ed98f14c60ed888952ca870c5a83485
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 7,398$3,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.26 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 58c | 5,226$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.55 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 60c | 1,555$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.45 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 60c | 1,391$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.64 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over | 26c | 1,250$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 57c | 600$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Under | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 39c | 513.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed Under | 59c | 360$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…5df3backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 62c | 205.08$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Under | 59c | 154.24$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Over | 37c | 149.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…8e95backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4380…f900backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 37c | 81.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c45fbacked Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 60c | 62.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Over | 39c | 58.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Under | 61c | 58.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Under | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…c110backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffce…c93cbacked Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 44c | 45.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8153…c439backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…bd7fbacked Under | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210f…d8c3backed Under | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…a24abacked Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Oviedo vs. Osasuna: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Oviedo vs. Osasuna: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Osasuna (-0.5)Real Oviedo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.