Tennis · resolved market
Zverev vs. Fritz - US Open
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29fbd040a7bb1b4b160e0e8d95364b5cc8a74e50ba75e843528670ed61873303
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fritzof Zverev, Fritz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Zverev | 33c | 85,537$27,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,818.44 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Fritz | 69c | 15,179$10,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,731.52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked Zverev | 33c | 6,078$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.56 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Fritz | 70c | 5,404$3,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.44 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e8…ce3bbacked Fritz | 71c | 3,767$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Fritz | 39c | 2,045$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…b113backed Fritz | 53c | 1,974$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.88 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Zverev | 47c | 1,505$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.06 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Fritz | 74c | 1,353$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Zverev | 49c | 1,139$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.26 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe484…7c7abacked Fritz | 79c | 1,098$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Fritz | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Zverev | 62c | 986.07$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.36 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Fritz | 44c | 948.34$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…64abbacked Zverev | 63c | 931.98$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Fritz | 73c | 889$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked Fritz | 48c | 852$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…9839backed Zverev | 37c | 743.21$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…bb41backed Fritz | 56c | 670.73$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.73 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Zverev | 56c | 600$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…ed5abacked Fritz | 74c | 594.59$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x002e…ab83backed Fritz | 69c | 468.03$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.06 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Fritz | 55c | 452.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Fritz | 65c | 450$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…1a05backed Fritz | 60c | 409.36$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…14efbacked Zverev | 50c | 379.37$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Zverev | 26c | 337.43$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Zverev | 63c | 310.41$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Zverev | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…ee86backed Zverev | 30c | 292.95$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.89 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…c3abbacked Fritz | 63c | 253.97$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3575…4f23backed Zverev | 47c | 210$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9103…9931backed Zverev | 60c | 203.33$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…08fabacked Fritz | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51cc…8839backed Fritz | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…af0dbacked Fritz | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0403…c5e7backed Zverev | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed Zverev | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Fritz | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Fritz | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Zverev | 53c | 96.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…14b1backed Zverev | 32c | 93.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Fritz | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…6fffbacked Fritz | 73c | 70.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Zverev | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Zverev | 44c | 69.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…a3e8backed Zverev | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa2…0204backed Zverev | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Fritz | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2e…581abacked Zverev | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e09…da86backed Zverev | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…4d83backed Fritz | 65c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Zverev | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…c05cbacked Zverev | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Zverev | 63c | 27.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b36…acebbacked Zverev | 63c | 25.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…a3c7backed Zverev | 63c | 23.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Fritz | 70c | 21.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9de…2345backed Zverev | 63c | 18.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2f…409fbacked Zverev | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.