Golf · resolved market
Will Scottie Scheffler win the British Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc01f03a33ee23690bc37b701ea475d7bd6239a018acc4cfd0ba9967eec7e70de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30e2…cc25backed Yes | 15c | 2,333$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f2…b488backed Yes | 17c | 1,511$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.14 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 17c | 781.32$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…4700backed Yes | 15c | 674.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…37b3backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886c…bb96backed Yes | 19c | 559$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e84…4332backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…b92abacked Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…5cc0backed Yes | 20c | 314.78$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 17c | 255.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Yes | 18c | 235$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…7c81backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb6…7081backed Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9e13backed Yes | 19c | 100.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…0a62backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeeb…3f5bbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…dcf4backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…f9e0backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…a95abacked Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253c…aa25backed Yes | 15c | 68.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the British Open?this page
- Will Brooks Koepka win the British Open?No won
- Will Bryson DeChambeau win the British Open?No won
- Will Collin Morikawa win the British Open?No won
- Will Jon Rahm win the British Open?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the British Open?No won
- Will Patrick Cantlay win the British Open?No won
- Will Rory McIlroy win the British Open?No won
- Will Tiger Woods win the British Open?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win the British Open?No won
- Will Tyrell Hatton win the British Open?No won
- Will Viktor Hovland win the British Open?No won
- Will Xander Schauffele win the British Open?Yes won
- Will another golfer win the British Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.