Golf · resolved market
Will another golfer win the British Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd8400a46fbf1e04f137128cbf0170f816acacdc2b164c1d3d34175828b1ed65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 45c | 18,751$8,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,307.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 63c | 2,800$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0b…ea52backed Yes | 60c | 2,231$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 51c | 1,846$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.53 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…24e0backed Yes | 76c | 1,830$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…165cbacked No | 36c | 1,335$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +179%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f2…b488backed Yes | 47c | 671.46$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.9 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92e…29cabacked Yes | 72c | 556.73$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 51c | 515$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.4 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d8…3484backed No | 51c | 416.67$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…fc9cbacked Yes | 65c | 268$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 62c | 200$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…dcf4backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…ac64backed No | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d03…bfb1backed Yes | 71c | 117$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked No | 56c | 105.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe85…1610backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2b…1298backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63cc…6e44backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x886c…bb96backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…3069backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 63c | 90.11$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…351abacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dc…8bc3backed No | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…64abbacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa835…bb36backed Yes | 63c | 36.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa268…b435backed Yes | 63c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…007dbacked No | 53c | 31.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d96…6831backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f18…7c03backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fb…7977backed No | 66c | 18.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…997dbacked No | 58c | 18.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…22edbacked No | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…7616backed No | 66c | 15.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will another golfer win the British Open?this page
- Will Brooks Koepka win the British Open?No won
- Will Bryson DeChambeau win the British Open?No won
- Will Collin Morikawa win the British Open?No won
- Will Jon Rahm win the British Open?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the British Open?No won
- Will Patrick Cantlay win the British Open?No won
- Will Rory McIlroy win the British Open?No won
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the British Open?No won
- Will Tiger Woods win the British Open?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win the British Open?No won
- Will Tyrell Hatton win the British Open?No won
- Will Viktor Hovland win the British Open?No won
- Will Xander Schauffele win the British Open?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.