Golf · resolved market
Will Xander Schauffele win the British Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec77578aa92b265448ea356915f24f9c1e7b17c63dc5c7d267171acab9b8e000
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,202$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.72 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0003…857abacked Yes | 22c | 835$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +385.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb154…f0c7backed Yes | 22c | 681.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x886c…bb96backed Yes | 21c | 555$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…8e39backed Yes | 10c | 400.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 78c | 400$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.6 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…f6f2backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,152.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…7c81backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 75c | 131.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…4a81backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb6…7081backed Yes | 22c | 91.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec2a…0b8fbacked Yes | 40c | 29.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +149.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Xander Schauffele win the British Open?this page
- Will Brooks Koepka win the British Open?No won
- Will Bryson DeChambeau win the British Open?No won
- Will Collin Morikawa win the British Open?No won
- Will Jon Rahm win the British Open?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the British Open?No won
- Will Patrick Cantlay win the British Open?No won
- Will Rory McIlroy win the British Open?No won
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the British Open?No won
- Will Tiger Woods win the British Open?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win the British Open?No won
- Will Tyrell Hatton win the British Open?No won
- Will Viktor Hovland win the British Open?No won
- Will another golfer win the British Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.