Premier League · resolved market
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ea836cb8e58075fb328410b54575bfd2398ac9e01a13b49406298a268d14670
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 35c | 3,104$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 36c | 2,022$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.72 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 1,824$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.07 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 37c | 1,444$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.7 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 63c | 1,297$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 604 | 45.4%274 W · 330 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 772.5$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.25 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 61c | 314.91$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.17 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked No | 64c | 269.8$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.13 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +48%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 64c | 268.88$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 14c | 223.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 593 | 32.9%195 W · 398 L | -30.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 68c | 207.25$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.76 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 199.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 36c | 139.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 105$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 63c | 103.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 63c | 79.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 64c | 76.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Yes | 36c | 64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Yes | 22c | 64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 78c | 59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 724 | 42.7%309 W · 415 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69df…fe16backed Yes | 41c | 51.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 63c | 48.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 182 | 38.5%70 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Yes | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 62c | 42.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 64c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…0821backed Yes | 37c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a1…1ac8backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 65c | 25.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 62c | 25.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 16.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
- Will Swansea City AFC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.