Asian League · resolved market
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-07-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c8fe16494ef5546162cf3ea22a82e223e35029935c7a0db258ca3faf2da799c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 20c | 6,701$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.2 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 3c | 3,485$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 0c | 2,253$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 18c | 2,161$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573a…dcbfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,677$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,655$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.46 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 9c | 1,379$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.33 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 7c | 1,354$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,101$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.73 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 12c | 958.24$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 12c | 849.68$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 20c | 793.25$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.65 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…2922backed Yes | 2c | 749.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 14c | 609.87$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 6c | 604.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 13c | 596.43$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 13c | 562$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 12c | 536.88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…017ebacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 19c | 499.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 143 | 10.5%15 W · 128 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Yes | 10c | 464$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 9c | 409.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…61babacked No | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…abc9backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 6c | 271.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Yes | 16c | 248.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 224.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 8c | 193$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 9c | 180$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 7c | 163$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 80c | 157.22$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 9c | 151$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 18c | 127.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed No | 80c | 121.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 11c | 116.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 17c | 109.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…1b08backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 18c | 94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…0821backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 18c | 69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…b7aebacked Yes | 21c | 59.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 79c | 52.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6311…497abacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…d5fdbacked No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 28.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked No | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed No | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-07-22?this page
- Will FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.