TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-07-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,526
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,133

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,526 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef84…6872backed Yes1c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No31c3,890$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,684.411136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No68c3,887$2,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.482,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes21c3,757$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.061,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes44c3,515$1,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.6522949.8%114 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked Yes1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a2c…100cbacked Yes1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc827…ff0fbacked Yes1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3070%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc93…718bbacked Yes1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3070%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64f3…34b6backed No63c2,422$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.25560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd2…4cb9backed Yes1c2,400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f9c…df69backed Yes50c1,037$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.68714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick51cpaid-68.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes56c999.99$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes70c945.37$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.6729432%94 W · 200 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes70c904.25$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.274739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes70c802.81$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.7510158.4%59 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes70c632.28$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.292,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No28c516.99$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.239747.4%46 W · 51 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca3d…2fd7backed Yes33c499.98$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.992334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes69c499.78$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.658843.2%38 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes69c406.29$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.341,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed No49c404.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.082748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed No13c384.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.6217630.1%53 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No60c376.9$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.0770842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed No31c330.03$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.726349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83c3…f740backed Yes56c299.36$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes70c291.53$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.2126136.8%96 W · 165 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No61c287.76$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.682,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No50c275$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.511,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b9…775dbacked No39c268.78$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.883129%9 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes64c256.13$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2284347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No31c251.86$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.1314646.6%68 W · 78 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x46d4…ab12backed Yes30c250.52$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes63c238.63$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1992835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Yes59c223.42$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.765420.4%11 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes72c212.88$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.251,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked No48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1048928.1%25 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b50…ef4cbacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7614440.3%58 W · 86 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb528…0874backed No28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.57728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No38c165.09$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.685,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3735…1525backed No71c158.99$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.613842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No72c150.26$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9344152.4%231 W · 210 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x425a…c41ebacked Yes70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No30c142.84$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2814446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2691…6c3cbacked Yes71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick67cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab30…88dbbacked Yes22c134.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Yes35c129.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.095930.5%18 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff4b…334ebacked Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes62c128$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3658542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes17c118.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No43c105.15$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4389245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Yes75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed No29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7111839.8%47 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94f1…4307backed Yes45c99.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes41c92.95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5756445.4%256 W · 308 L-25.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked No54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+44.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No30c79.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6953946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes70c77.39$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No14c75.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5213349.6%66 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507762.3%48 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011141.4%46 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed No31c69.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4614744.9%66 W · 81 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes68c68.49$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5712250%61 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yes19c68.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9321144.5%94 W · 117 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Yes69c66.23$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.715352.9%81 W · 72 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed No47c62.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0225742%108 W · 149 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf904…85ecbacked Yes57c61.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-67.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfee9…ff13backed Yes65c58.41$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.84616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f3d…61febacked Yes50c58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick54cpaid-79.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed No44c56.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.228241.5%34 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No46c54.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1537153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed No53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x90e3…6298backed Yes61c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.924238.1%16 W · 26 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60b4…0821backed No41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.781136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0832…4146backed Yes29c47.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked No36c44.81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.546642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd9f…c675backed Yes58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25137.7%1 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.34per pick41cpaid-73.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes59c39.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5428251.4%145 W · 137 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked No75c36.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.332352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Yes70c35.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252245.5%10 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-31.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xabfe…dba6backed Yes57c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed No30c34.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.023554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0da8…54afbacked Yes58c34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7240%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes70c33.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.521,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfda4…2b37backed Yes60c33.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked No30c32.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.933956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209439.4%37 W · 57 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9024…29ccbacked Yes69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick44cpaid-79.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No55c28.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8124448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb4b…394cbacked Yes71c27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.17425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27bd…5452backed Yes66c25.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0c…47eabacked No61c25.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed No57c23.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.259268.5%63 W · 29 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44eb…48c6backed Yes69c20.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.015060%30 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4941…b03cbacked No76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.