TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,954
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,631

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,954 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes34c22,787$7,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,150.192,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No66c14,958$9,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,803.9970842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No73c6,792$4,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,971.3715160.9%92 W · 59 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No73c6,530$4,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,757.2323347.6%111 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c6,488$2,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,836.795,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed No76c4,486$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,430.282462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes67c4,334$2,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.8724247.9%116 W · 126 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No73c4,226$3,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,069.9627148%130 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes10c3,527$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,171.242,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Yes36c2,798$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.582462.5%15 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+70.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No23c2,723$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.681225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-62.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes23c2,447$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.4389245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No72c2,306$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.791,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Yes65c2,035$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.153336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Yes79c1,377$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.953243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8930…db72backed Yes49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.413161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes32c824.99$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.143834.2%13 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Yes75c820.78$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.232360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc09b…1478backed Yes10c760$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+170.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No51c535.52$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.5322949.8%114 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes31c528.62$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.3392835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked No39c510$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.56642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes29c415.25$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.441,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes33c369$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.994854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes61c365$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.89350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes65c360$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12611952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes37c351.46$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.8213349.6%66 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes46c298.01$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9758542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes66c292.64$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4514745.6%67 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c3…f740backed No64c271$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2691…6c3cbacked Yes57c263.18$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.181346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick67cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes23c260.03$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.8748768%331 W · 156 L+69.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes43c260$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9272144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No75c251.86$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.114646.6%68 W · 78 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes41c250$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.111,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Yes20c217.35$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.39520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No22c206.13$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.598953.9%48 W · 41 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes17c201.22$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16814310.5%15 W · 128 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Yes18c194.44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.4411812.7%15 W · 103 L-0.5wins0.00per pick13cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No44c176.64$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6756445.4%256 W · 308 L-25.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked No68c174.5$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.465244.2%23 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8100…1d33backed Yes59c170.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.37757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3735…1525backed No35c159$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.953842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes49c158.96$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0527037%100 W · 170 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed No48c157.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.911861.9%73 W · 45 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Yes16c145.57$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.588630.2%26 W · 60 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No72c141.86$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8328251.4%145 W · 137 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes17c140$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.214446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes18c139.09$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.841,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…ccecbacked No15c130$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes17c123.79$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7474739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes79c120.32$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.279652.1%50 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes73c119.79$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8921854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes16c117.14$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.41,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed Yes44c114$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.161346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+50.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03dd…49c8backed No29c112.65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes19c110.53$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.531566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+52.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No31c103.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9824448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes17c99.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9934050.9%173 W · 167 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a62…a2a8backed Yes52c83.87$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.53966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes22c82.23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.742,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes22c81.13$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.132657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes17c79.98$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0853946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes28c76.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.231,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Yes40c75.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.891435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No79c72.8$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.714440.3%58 W · 86 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes17c71.94$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7614744.9%66 W · 81 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40b3…6237backed Yes39c69.23$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.231947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No25c64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1634847.4%165 W · 183 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes19c61.87$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1130049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed Yes25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick39cpaid+98.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x273d…fb63backed No78c58.21$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.232326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.9wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-58.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Yes35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.144429.5%13 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x665e…dc39backed Yes38c55.16$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+157.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Yes70c53.22$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+65.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes73c49.37$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4784347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes51c45.52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.372045%9 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No39c44.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.282053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ae…dc21backed No59c42.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.31225%3 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-56.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes71c42.53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.531154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No79c40.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8544152.4%231 W · 210 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Yes34c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.53956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadb5…e421backed No76c13.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.