Premier League · resolved market
Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fb211da0d33fcc83e10bea5c8aabadb70fec23a0ab83903d41ef185f70719c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 2,133$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.68 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…2bcabacked Yes | 17c | 2,093$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.41 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 1,637$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.1 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…2957backed No | 40c | 1,488$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 59c | 1,410$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.1 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 25c | 760$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked No | 44c | 680.57$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.51 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 502.37$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.37 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Yes | 25c | 470.59$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Yes | 54c | 445.43$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 38c | 426.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.1 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…9e05backed Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 374.36$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…144bbacked Yes | 29c | 345.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 59c | 336.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.64 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 60c | 333.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.12 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 61c | 328.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.64 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 60c | 310.46$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.56 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 76c | 276.5$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 71c | 262.06$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 61c | 260.41$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.36 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 39c | 242.23$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.44 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 76c | 190.75$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 39c | 181.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 181.08$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed No | 72c | 178.57$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 27c | 125.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 29c | 120.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a98…ef19backed No | 42c | 120.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 49c | 109.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 57c | 78.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 50c | 78.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9f62backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 80c | 44.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 57c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa250…b806backed Yes | 25c | 41.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 26c | 39.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 407 | 21.9%89 W · 318 L | -53.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Yes | 27c | 37.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 36.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 76c | 34.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 61c | 33.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaba…cf38backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +7.2wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 59c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 35c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…0821backed No | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 64c | 28.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 64c | 25.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 200 | 41%82 W · 118 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 46c | 24.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 52c | 23.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 65c | 22.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed No | 72c | 21.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 20.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 412 | 43.4%179 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 80c | 14.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed No | 77c | 13.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Derby County FC vs. Cardiff City FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Derby County FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.