Premier League · resolved market
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb861d3db96c5828c5daa660f18705ce7697d0e5c31a9a79514bd6b7b64aac924
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3eb0…6a68backed No | 55c | 18,663$10,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,398.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 29c | 6,457$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.98 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 45c | 4,898$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.11 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…285cbacked No | 55c | 3,636$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 54c | 2,861$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.08 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 45c | 1,995$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.79 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 1,988$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.67 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 45c | 1,967$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.28 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 1,885$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.71 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 52c | 1,813$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.27 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,773$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.01 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,486$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.7 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 173 | 39.9%69 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 45c | 1,043$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.35 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 45c | 1,005$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.45 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Yes | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 32c | 632.59$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.92 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 49c | 540.5$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.84 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 56c | 490.93$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.01 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…6db9backed Yes | 48c | 475$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 76c | 470$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 458.78$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 48c | 417$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 76c | 394.49$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 45c | 305$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.25 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 6c | 287.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 47c | 285.06$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.92 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 75c | 272.36$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked No | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed No | 51c | 241.27$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.22 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed Yes | 43c | 230.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 48c | 214.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 75c | 205.44$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 25c | 201.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 15c | 150.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cf…be82backed Yes | 48c | 143$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 33c | 125$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed No | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 102.78$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 23c | 89.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 76c | 75.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 49c | 68.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 37c | 66.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Yes | 45c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 42c | 55.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a46…2482backed Yes | 50c | 53.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 63c | 52.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69df…fe16backed Yes | 48c | 43.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…5ae1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 48c | 39.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 75c | 34.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Yes | 50c | 32.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed Yes | 52c | 32.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 76c | 26.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 54c | 26.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed No | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 53c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Derby County FC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
- Will Derby County FC vs. Cardiff City FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.