TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-07-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$314,875
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$374,578

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,875 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes41c36,262$14,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,337.522,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c22,251$14,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,050.238,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No36c21,045$7,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,569.61,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No55c9,791$5,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,384.4675240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No57c8,733$4,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,959.912,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No58c7,494$4,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,317.483,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed No50c6,925$3,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,462.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes48c5,098$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.275939%23 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Yes50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Yes37c4,449$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,781.133935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes71c3,927$2,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.341241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes40c3,917$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,361.2412646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No21c3,599$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.3812737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No62c3,426$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,107.475,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No7c3,317$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.9810618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No57c2,415$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.4931349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes49c2,213$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.8250643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes13c2,181$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.361,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e56…d55ebacked No42c2,138$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.691952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.98321.7%18 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7b0f…4633backed Yes53c1,898$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.321154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed Yes47c1,861$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.855841.4%24 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…4d4abacked Yes52c1,767$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.34825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed No52c1,747$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.4323733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes51c1,702$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.2835046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Yes34c1,607$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.2715625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed Yes76c1,598$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.26339.7%25 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No45c1,569$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.0848547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No42c1,561$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.4519050.5%96 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No39c1,390$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.0320065%130 W · 70 L+18.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No42c1,384$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.3230847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No42c1,207$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.8827442%115 W · 159 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0570…465ebacked No48c1,116$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.682759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed No46c1,090$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.9712156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No37c1,055$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.889710.3%10 W · 87 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-72.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No64c1,013$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.3995155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes64c993.1$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.454436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes51c906.2$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.63922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-59.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No48c890.97$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.671,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed No57c871.93$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4972055%11 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No60c871.35$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.4820665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked No49c868.43$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.1416051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No47c813.54$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.8919150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No14c801.3$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8515247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No48c781$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.881,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No49c764.2$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.462,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No51c726.14$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.215143%65 W · 86 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes50c702.24$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.121,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Yes55c662.31$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.091241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed No52c642$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.7235240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No73c642$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.5644843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…eb43backed No50c614.45$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes17c600$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.27633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+60%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc28f…d02bbacked Yes17c563.15$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+322.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes40c552.6$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.858818.2%16 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No58c506.97$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.823254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No48c503.02$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.451,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No62c501.77$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.251,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No55c496.27$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.121,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes67c487.17$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9651945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes49c468.01$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.4418359%108 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Yes45c455.75$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f1…be41backed Yes37c440.05$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.481258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes46c434.84$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.5511039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007332.9%24 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No16c402.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2932139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked No77c400$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.646144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Yes44c397.01$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.391154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes52c356.69$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7945746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked No57c349.95$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.627342.5%31 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No76c335.83$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.851,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes48c330.64$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.571,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked No78c330$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.184339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked Yes47c316.86$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.577248.6%35 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No48c312$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7631039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04e7…332fbacked No49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes15c299.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.9812933.3%43 W · 86 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes41c280.33$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2714530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No66c239.03$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.716040%24 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4941…b03cbacked No31c234.04$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.081973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1345…53cdbacked Yes42c224.32$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Yes6c221.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.256230.6%19 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes23c213.43$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.4731136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Yes14c212.81$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.316142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes34c210$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.63756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked No49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007347.9%35 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes71c199.43$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7919953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x425a…c41ebacked Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dac…6b71backed Yes51c193.31$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.72633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed No54c183.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+63.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Yes52c178.85$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.852669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes27c176.8$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.791,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5005…bcb1backed No14c165$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Yes21c163.46$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.896350.8%32 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No48c160.15$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8727549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes52c159.65$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6366837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Yes52c149.15$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.235815.5%9 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked No48c143.96$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.44040%16 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No49c140$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.614643.2%63 W · 83 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e56…6c35backed Yes44c136.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.36742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.