TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Club Necaxa vs. Atlante FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,429
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,429 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No73c11,651$8,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,144.962,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes67c10,178$6,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,769.8648547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes67c8,239$5,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,516.451945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes24c7,279$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74719846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No17c7,098$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,867.085,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No26c6,981$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,174.6510618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3735…1525backed Yes6c5,796$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.054242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed No33c5,779$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,847.293935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No17c4,536$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,759.122,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed No27c3,982$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,915.2211025.5%28 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes24c3,705$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.471,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No51c3,408$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.8816641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed No43c2,749$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.595540%22 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No35c2,651$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.920036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e56…d55ebacked No52c2,231$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.071952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed No64c2,170$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.058818.2%16 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes27c1,859$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.0375240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No78c1,592$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.154436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes26c1,540$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.693,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No35c1,509$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.818,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed Yes5c1,433$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.536339.7%25 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes75c1,400$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.220065%130 W · 70 L+18.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed No78c1,263$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.045939%23 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25014530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No79c1,229$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.6821765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes5c1,038$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.356412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No20c822.21$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.553016.7%5 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed No76c812.73$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.798657%49 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No78c801.3$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.0615247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes40c750.74$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.51,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b0…d3e3backed Yes20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes24c654.22$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.011,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes78c637.01$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.7744843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc7d…2c2cbacked No17c630.86$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.341225%3 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-9.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No78c619$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.720665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes31c546.36$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6615143%65 W · 86 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No19c523.7$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.7232139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No78c510.79$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.441,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes68c499.97$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9810364.1%66 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Yes27c465$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0535240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed No34c455.39$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.715230.8%16 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked No20c400$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.136144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No60c391$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.8817051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes25c377.12$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2866837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes32c349.33$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.211,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No18c321.97$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.91,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No79c316.45$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4511039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes45c304.54$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6527442%115 W · 159 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes79c295.5$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.7989645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No22c292.86$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.0242946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc95d…d369backed Yes64c258.99$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.84837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafca…92b4backed Yes38c255.26$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes50c242.07$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.384542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No21c219.71$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5730847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes80c207.32$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.711,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e0a…24b1backed Yes74c206.74$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.04520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick62cpaid-67.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked No43c205.98$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.267342.5%31 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No40c203.36$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7767548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Yes24c200.81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.75651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f53…5e9fbacked Yes79c189.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4df…e6cfbacked No48c178.32$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.152263.6%14 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No22c160$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.819050.5%96 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa3c…5607backed No32c157.07$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.471361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+52.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes49c153.87$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.423630.6%11 W · 25 L-7.4wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-43.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Yes51c152.09$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.011741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes65c129.01$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6619953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bf2…fc7ebacked No54c127.61$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68f0…c32dbacked Yes27c126.76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec9f…e57bbacked No35c115.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.07683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.48per pick35cpaid+196.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed No21c113.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac64…866ebacked No36c109.85$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.584755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5005…bcb1backed Yes68c105.9$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.49425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes24c101.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.982,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Yes58c95$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.646350.8%32 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes51c93.01$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8819150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee02…ce88backed No70c93$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.591770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes48c92.29$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.414040%16 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed No34c88.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.245141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked No13c87.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.065834.5%20 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc64f…ad00backed Yes71c84.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No75c76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1810875%81 W · 27 L+16.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes65c67.66$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.261,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Yes17c65.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.31210%0 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked No47c63.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.74837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0074…0767backed No22c61$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.583100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+137.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4941…b03cbacked No52c59.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.591973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked No20c56.87$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4416845.2%76 W · 92 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a62…a2a8backed Yes77c56.35$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick74cpaid-45.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes24c55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes24c48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5278756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f85…83a6backed Yes34c43.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes44c43.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.316040%24 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes25c42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.519543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb77…0979backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b4…f911backed Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42010%2 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-62.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x787b…f0a6backed No29c38.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.761127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes74c38$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.128775.9%66 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked No53c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.824339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x856e…bd31backed No29c35.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.