Euroleague · resolved market
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Zhejiang Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xada6d4feb2009eebccbc0e57561fe54d6b6c8b7045bcae1996fcb00ec3635600
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jilin Northeast Tigersof Jilin Northeast Tigers, Zhejiang Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 9c | 20,561$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,665.96 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 17c | 2,488$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.65 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 33c | 1,349$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.12 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 7c | 1,249$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.56 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 11c | 996.63$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.55 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 7c | 744.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.58 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Zhejiang Lions | 75c | 492.55$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.32 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Zhejiang Lions | 53c | 379.9$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.96 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdab7…24ecbacked Zhejiang Lions | 77c | 364.92$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 8c | 281.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.71 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 8c | 233.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.74 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 22c | 212.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.07 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 29c | 193.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.06 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Zhejiang Lions | 67c | 137.66$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 68c | 130$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 12c | 120.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.02 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 31c | 120.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Zhejiang Lions | 68c | 110.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…76bebacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 32c | 109.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +215.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 39c | 105$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…fa5cbacked Zhejiang Lions | 39c | 89.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Zhejiang Lions | 64c | 75.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Zhejiang Lions | 71c | 70.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 33c | 65.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Zhejiang Lions | 60c | 57.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 33c | 46.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Zhejiang Lions | 59c | 42.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Zhejiang Lions | 67c | 40.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 49c | 39.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…0a59backed Zhejiang Lions | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…190bbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.