TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Peñarol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,570
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,877

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,570 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over34c11,974$4,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,061.614330.8%44 W · 99 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under66c7,936$5,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,702.491,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under65c5,048$3,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.971,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50017146.2%79 W · 92 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under66c4,039$2,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.533,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c3,687$2,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.848,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under49c3,268$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.6110741.1%44 W · 63 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over31c3,094$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.263537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c2,509$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.435,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over32c2,278$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74014727.2%40 W · 107 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over49c2,101$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.5512940.3%52 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over34c1,782$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.371,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under66c1,473$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.8878756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over43c901.54$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.583,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e35…3655backed Over35c694.56$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.392931%9 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over21c610.42$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1999259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over29c553.28$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.081,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under66c528.98$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.852,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over48c476.96$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.462,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over34c457.55$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1554647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under66c312$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0821657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under66c303.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.119652.1%50 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7548922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc115…9138backed Over34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010031%31 W · 69 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013247.7%63 W · 69 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over32c280.21$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6722457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under67c259.34$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.472,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4b6…41b4backed Under50c219.7$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.95450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014161%86 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over34c163.41$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.439741.2%40 W · 57 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee4d…5413backed Under52c153.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.85955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3534…a1b3backed Over33c135.48$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.71933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Under53c130$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under66c121$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1421349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under51c103.92$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.924850%24 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under65c100.02$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6742250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f0…2000backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501010%1 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick41cpaid-73%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x27d3…0764backed Over23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.61353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under67c81.38$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5825866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51d8…d8a7backed Over31c73.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.661241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under66c70$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5217255.2%95 W · 77 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x981f…cf4fbacked Over44c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under67c67.17$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9765058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under68c66.35$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4433560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over29c66.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9612827.3%35 W · 93 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under77c66.1$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.91,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9df6…c33bbacked Over51c63.63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.452962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over50c58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.521844.5%97 W · 121 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Over33c49.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.496944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under66c49.29$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7616653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4511551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over34c44.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.264736.2%17 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158720.7%18 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.865848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under65c42.86$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1515359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9c8…5312backed Under67c40.04$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.041457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd840…1ec6backed Over34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.62653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x651c…1084backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under63c38.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.331,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over33c35.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.822,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad05…fb3bbacked Over34c34.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed Under65c33.17$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.612470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c25…6bbcbacked Under53c32.03$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.059100%9 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under68c31.29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.017048.6%34 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under58c29.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.391942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf886…d825backed Under68c27.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.823158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over46c27.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4731355.6%174 W · 139 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked Under67c26.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.665862.1%36 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb847…1974backed Under58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.86475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over41c25.23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3667548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.356453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under62c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7120958.4%122 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Under54c21.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.711844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd27c…d9b8backed Under67c21.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.971172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbbbf…388ebacked Under66c20.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.85988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick57cpaid+64.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Under66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.85754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under66c19.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7427855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under66c18.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.44358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under70c18.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5311664.7%75 W · 41 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a78…a6bebacked Under67c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.