South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Peñarol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe435a3ded884fea396c8dce502752be10d6817d709182b89af9010b93d42d1ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 3,660$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.36 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 2,122$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.02 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 55c | 2,077$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.26 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed No | 57c | 1,850$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 45c | 1,778$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.78 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 45c | 1,310$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.65 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 44c | 1,019$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.95 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 43c | 919.86$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.33 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed No | 9c | 900$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 479.56$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.14 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 48c | 466.8$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.37 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…f403backed Yes | 42c | 458.34$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 43c | 442.98$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.25 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 50c | 298.92$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.46 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 44c | 220$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.51 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 218.17$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.29 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 44c | 215.91$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.91 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 211.96$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.24 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 71c | 183.62$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 168.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 52c | 148.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 56c | 119.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 59c | 96.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18cf…2bb2backed No | 12c | 91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed No | 59c | 77.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 44c | 72.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 57c | 68.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 63.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…d74abacked Yes | 46c | 59.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…a565backed Yes | 44c | 56.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe3…d0c9backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f75…cc2abacked Yes | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked No | 30c | 42.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…56a2backed Yes | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 44c | 33.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 43c | 28.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed No | 55c | 25.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 49c | 25.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Peñarol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Peñarol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Peñarol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Peñarol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Peñarol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Peñarol (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)CA Peñarol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.