South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Peñarol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x581048bfe6282b008c8cef848fd980ee1b7863b6f5e8d4d6c6754fafe84518c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 59c | 14,894$8,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,074.07 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 7,619$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.16 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 66c | 7,544$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.18 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 6,756$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.99 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 6,148$2,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.63 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 38c | 3,868$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.16 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 52c | 3,624$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.84 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 2,972$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.49 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 58c | 1,300$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.98 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 61c | 977.98$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.41 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80f…34a9backed Under | 6c | 930.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 33c | 920.39$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.74 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 60c | 919.97$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.99 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 68c | 742.77$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.69 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 714.52$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.16 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 39c | 525.02$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.76 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 35c | 480.19$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.94 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 39c | 429.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.69 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd1…0604backed Over | 58c | 420$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Over | 59c | 354.25$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.24 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf8…708cbacked Over | 61c | 345.39$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 64c | 314.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.78 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…c691backed Over | 63c | 303.36$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 79c | 253.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 39c | 233.57$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…0764backed Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 61c | 188.52$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.52 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 39c | 167.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Over | 61c | 157.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 60c | 157$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 63c | 153.06$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 40c | 150.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 39c | 142.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 61c | 140.25$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 40c | 117.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…41b4backed Over | 61c | 112.74$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 39c | 101.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 78c | 95.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 39c | 81.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…1f55backed Under | 40c | 79.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Under | 40c | 60.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 39c | 55.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Under | 40c | 53.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…84d7backed Under | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…0451backed Under | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 39c | 42.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Under | 45c | 40.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 39c | 38.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked Under | 36c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…d4e2backed Over | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…d74abacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…b855backed Under | 37c | 28.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 38c | 28.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…0193backed Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Over | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 77c | 15.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Peñarol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Peñarol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Peñarol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Peñarol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Peñarol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Peñarol (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)CA Peñarol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.