TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Atlas FC win on 2026-07-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$223,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,882

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,566 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes42c72,751$30,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,492.528940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes37c36,668$13,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,939.4349136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No63c15,055$9,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,553.441,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7414…72a3backed No60c14,875$8,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,851.21966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+40.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes41c14,699$5,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,726.4723733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No47c11,812$5,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,510.0475240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked No57c11,022$6,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,303.741861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No63c7,903$4,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.421,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No62c7,779$4,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,816.751,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed No26c7,440$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,936.723935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c7,184$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.515,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No63c7,082$4,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,427.7812755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c6,710$3,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,505.418,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No64c6,229$3,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,970.711,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No61c5,900$3,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,598.9816160.9%98 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x047f…bf3abacked No61c5,560$3,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,391.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed No61c3,304$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No32c3,067$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.792,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No40c2,626$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.163,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No62c2,485$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.241,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No47c2,423$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.4426835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3355…dd2fbacked No61c2,373$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc73a…8a83backed No61c2,344$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.81425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebc0…5806backed Yes76c2,258$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.53542.9%15 W · 20 L-5.8wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No60c2,121$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.046553.8%35 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes36c2,018$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.3738233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x692f…d325backed No65c2,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ca…7895backed No63c1,947$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90aa…00f1backed Yes40c1,931$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.942626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes54c1,808$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.8912646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed No51c1,466$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.7864633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes70c1,367$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.212,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No37c1,164$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.0511039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6406243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes41c975.6$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.612738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No51c953.71$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.9555250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes79c869.82$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.4121252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No44c810.7$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.4946449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No63c810$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5139551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No64c781$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.841,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No65c781$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.532,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed No48c744.73$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.7519155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No64c682.89$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.051,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No63c640$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.9217951.4%92 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0458…92e9backed Yes41c609.76$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.76650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Yes30c555.51$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed No61c520.31$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.117028.6%20 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes75c516.52$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.111,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No62c472.75$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.824658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes67c470.57$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.5851945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80a2…5aa3backed Yes35c418.83$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No20c393.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.649122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No60c376$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.281,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No63c364.43$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.7215424%37 W · 117 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No25c354.46$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5885220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No60c350$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21030754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No54c347.32$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.4569453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No63c344.68$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.0725955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No8c334.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.161,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x838f…a741backed Yes77c332.39$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No20c328.32$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0342946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed No31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1892917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No64c298$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.462,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes39c295.31$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.851,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No48c293.46$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5624535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.712250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No61c279.99$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.813852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7181…c5f5backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.781346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Yes35c271.43$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.432250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No63c270.96$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.77856.4%44 W · 34 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes75c267.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.394182.9%34 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes39c266.62$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.3135046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked No55c263.9$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.214753.7%79 W · 68 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes75c262.61$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6295155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b44…fcfcbacked Yes36c252.98$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.91850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No64c250$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8355946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Yes43c247.02$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8517051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No24c235.91$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4489846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked No64c234.36$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.823641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes52c232$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11123044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x619a…036abacked Yes77c225.71$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.91650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No10c212$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3944843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes42c210.65$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2650643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked No52c194.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0515552.3%81 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes54c180.43$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8331349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No33c154.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.431,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.518338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No48c145.79$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4163061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Yes39c144.62$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2211457%65 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No61c144$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8419559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No26c139$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7872058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Yes35c137$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.054247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac6d…94f1backed Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes36c118.33$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.739158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed No65c115.15$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8525345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No62c112$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9470055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf651…554ebacked No66c111$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes56c108$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0630847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No23c104.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0516641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.