South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3163df4e7cd4dd6336e36d96f6bc2be3fce7a7103a208dc575ba203a43994ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 65c | 17,923$11,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,244.16 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 8,571$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.58 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 29c | 5,932$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.65 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 28c | 5,400$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.03 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 4,435$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.82 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 2,781$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.07 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 62c | 2,522$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.89 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 39c | 2,488$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.4 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 35c | 1,464$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.35 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 1,425$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.87 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 61c | 1,045$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.74 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 969.01$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.01 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 954.42$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.58 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 482.46$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.91 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 38c | 404.19$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.59 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed No | 65c | 400.91$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.94 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed Yes | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Yes | 29c | 345$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…3bb9backed Yes | 29c | 270.07$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 31c | 258.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 13c | 256.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 39c | 247.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 31c | 213.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 64c | 205.46$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.58 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 203$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…5607backed Yes | 25c | 162.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 161.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 35c | 133.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed Yes | 8c | 125.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 75c | 117$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Yes | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 29c | 114.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 40c | 107.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 16c | 103.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…00f1backed Yes | 29c | 101.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 28c | 98.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 73c | 96.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 20c | 93.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 40c | 86.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 72c | 84.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 72c | 84.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 39c | 80.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 16c | 79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Yes | 40c | 70.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…12a6backed Yes | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…c701backed Yes | 46c | 59.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes | 29c | 59.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db6…fa76backed Yes | 30c | 59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 19c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 29c | 53.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 64c | 53.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 50.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 63c | 49.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 78c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc6…fb63backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 73c | 32.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 59c | 30.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 72c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Yes | 39c | 28.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 25.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed No | 67c | 22.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…b626backed No | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed No | 62c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked No | 73c | 15.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-07-25?Yes won
- Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-07-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.