TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,357
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,933

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,357 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c11,448$5,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,494.475,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over52c9,620$5,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,617.5617753.1%94 W · 83 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over60c5,197$3,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,095.162,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under54c3,171$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70018257.1%104 W · 78 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under32c3,094$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009526.3%25 W · 70 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under44c3,049$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.6210235.3%36 W · 66 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Under16c2,904$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over56c2,736$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.3324523.3%57 W · 188 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over50c2,547$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.532339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over52c1,975$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.251,46435.6%521 W · 943 L-33.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over49c1,293$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.822,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over52c1,206$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.336738.8%26 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Under45c999.93$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.978132.1%26 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c811.82$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.61,74950.7%887 W · 862 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Under32c810.5$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.9410634.9%37 W · 69 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3506248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under53c600$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.19441.5%39 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over59c488.8$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.4630464.8%197 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf00e…00f4backed Under42c471.83$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.11741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over54c412.5$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.9690544.9%406 W · 499 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Over60c403.9$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.3310843.5%47 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9333…4100backed Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over56c357.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.2312741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under44c356.14$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.717757.6%102 W · 75 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.586355.6%35 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509756.7%55 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over43c281.74$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.597628.9%22 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under48c243$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6414247.2%67 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024654.1%133 W · 113 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2102…087dbacked Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under46c212.9$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.481,23549.9%616 W · 619 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under49c212.64$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5339058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over54c211.46$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3820165.7%132 W · 69 L+28.2wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+40.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under48c201.61$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.776457.8%37 W · 27 L+10.9wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+51.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over39c200.22$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.114946.9%23 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid+116%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02a…8e83backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8c…3d1abacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee4d…5413backed Over50c199.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+46.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8217440.2%70 W · 104 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b9…2444backed Under50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.579950.5%50 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8356…d6cbbacked Under50c176$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under48c150.94$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4518644.6%83 W · 103 L-0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over52c149.37$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.71,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e35…3655backed Over55c140.09$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.042733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over45c132.29$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0237662.5%235 W · 141 L+61.2wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+35.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c130.88$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.971,76650.2%887 W · 879 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under45c125.81$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.321,35745.5%617 W · 740 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cee…bd00backed Under47c125$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under48c124.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0447860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under49c112.06$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.914768.1%32 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4934150.7%173 W · 168 L+18.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4628040.4%113 W · 167 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x468d…cf23backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Under54c96.3$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under50c88.87$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5515971.1%113 W · 46 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under49c88.25$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2110160.4%61 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e6f…7248backed Over70c85.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.711145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over44c85.4$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8239861.8%246 W · 152 L+56.9wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Under33c77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.413647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf886…d825backed Under47c71.33$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.714057.5%23 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under48c69.65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.244571.1%32 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under44c69.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4940750.6%206 W · 201 L-0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over48c65.57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3915872.2%114 W · 44 L+34.3wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+64%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over54c64.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.914351.7%74 W · 69 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under56c57.93$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.181,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97dc…d8a5backed Over56c56.94$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.052277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+26.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa636…dfe9backed Under47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-41.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under47c49.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.928256.1%46 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Under48c47.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.475259.6%31 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over54c46.66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.663435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Under43c46.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.986439.1%25 W · 39 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ece…0163backed Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.452937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over70c45.31$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5947155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Under46c43.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.093847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.118838.8%73 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under49c40.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.744656.5%26 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011543.5%50 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over47c37.95$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.955947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under51c37.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.091,66236.2%602 W · 1,060 L-34.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under48c37.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8410752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under47c35.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.754860.4%29 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under47c31.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9912551.2%64 W · 61 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Under49c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6611759%69 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed Under45c26.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.94085%34 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+29.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under52c25.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.259653.1%51 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873d…f7a9backed Over65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.081656.3%9 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick69cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over55c22.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9815850%79 W · 79 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under55c21.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2913949.6%69 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89d4…dcfcbacked Over63c20.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.631855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc057…804abacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over56c19.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.527574.7%56 W · 19 L+13.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over69c17.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.444077.5%31 W · 9 L+7.5wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.