Asian League · resolved market
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb379d726533c16b56124dea657061733810ec73895acc13b0a8c1cdf5ea43c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 19c | 7,738$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 79c | 2,025$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.38 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 77c | 1,920$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.7 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 952.69$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.2 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 22c | 607.13$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.57 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 71c | 492.96$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 21c | 344.03$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 77c | 309.73$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.24 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 77c | 301.17$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 22c | 301.17$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…c25cbacked Over | 71c | 280.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 17c | 220.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 77c | 200.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 76c | 127.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 79c | 126.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Under | 13c | 107.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 77c | 104.29$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…e926backed Under | 28c | 103.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 32c | 82.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 77c | 78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Over | 72c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked Over | 79c | 43.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 79c | 40.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.