Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71a1331f2d775a19dc88dcdd02080eb9a77547c88a81c78866673bfeb6140266
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Qingdao Hainiu FCof Liaoning Tieren FC, Qingdao Hainiu FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 17c | 570.78$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…2cabbacked Liaoning Tieren FC | 24c | 233.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 15c | 225.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…3792backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 45c | 222.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 22c | 144.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 78c | 138.01$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fb…2de9backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 78c | 124.17$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 75c | 90.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 22c | 88.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Liaoning Tieren FC | 25c | 63.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9e6cbacked Liaoning Tieren FC | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 78c | 37.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 79c | 25.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)this page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.