Asian League · resolved market
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c934517b8b843514b092dbbaf9914ecb7aad98962c7cb3d25b352b2fe88209d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 44c | 4,990$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 20c | 4,766$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.26 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 3,876$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.91 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 3,656$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.66 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 79c | 1,507$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.86 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 34c | 1,365$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.63 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 31c | 999.91$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.97 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6febbacked Under | 72c | 700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…d6cbbacked Under | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 59c | 630.43$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.98 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…d2dcbacked Under | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 76c | 583.83$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 44c | 480$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.93 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 65c | 446.46$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.26 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Over | 32c | 378.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.63 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 67c | 296$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 32c | 295.64$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.67 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 34c | 285.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…ff1dbacked Under | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 70c | 218.63$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.54 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…8d02backed Under | 68c | 179.21$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 73c | 149.95$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 68c | 146.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…2cabbacked Over | 34c | 131.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 30c | 118.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 32c | 116.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 75c | 79.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79e1…982dbacked Under | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 31c | 69.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 68c | 68.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 31c | 67.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 28c | 63.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 33c | 60.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 32c | 60.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under | 77c | 55.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8609…4897backed Under | 68c | 44.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 30c | 42.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…1184backed Under | 71c | 42.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…2e5bbacked Under | 69c | 36.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 33c | 34.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 79c | 30.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…07d7backed Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 64c | 27.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 69c | 27.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Under | 73c | 23.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 69c | 20.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 70c | 20.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 70c | 19.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 66c | 18.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 75 | 74.7%56 W · 19 L | +13.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 69c | 16.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 69c | 15.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Under | 69c | 14.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.