Other European Leagues · resolved market
Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9892e0bbd2c3b34e239ff922c5f77130be083206918aca37462ac2b631817d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 5,486$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,043 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 51c | 5,453$2,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.76 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 49c | 4,931$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.39 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 71c | 3,604$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.7 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…6039backed Under | 28c | 2,697$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 79c | 1,960$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.26 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 35c | 1,628$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.71 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 63c | 999.98$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.98 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 71c | 798.8$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.18 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 42c | 721.36$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.83 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 40c | 606.03$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.36 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 75c | 530.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 63c | 502.36$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.19 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 56c | 478.22$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.06 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Over | 58c | 341.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 80c | 169.16$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.13 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 77c | 150$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 65c | 133.84$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…eed8backed Over | 71c | 130$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 50c | 116.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 62c | 104.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 22c | 58.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Over | 18c | 56.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Under | 48c | 49.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 52c | 47.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 45c | 45.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…d3fabacked Under | 42c | 45.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 79c | 36.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 79c | 34.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 78c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 52c | 29.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 46c | 24.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 54c | 21.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -17.3wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 71c | 20.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Over | 62c | 19.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Over | 80c | 18.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…e1acbacked Over | 80c | 17.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Over | 78c | 14.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…8ae0backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 76cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 1.5this page
- Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: Djurgardens IF O/U 0.5Over won
- Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: Djurgardens IF O/U 2.5Under won
- Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Degerfors IF (-1.5)Djurgardens IF won
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5)Degerfors IF won
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-2.5)Degerfors IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.