Other European Leagues · resolved market
Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x977d68ec81967e92d8c42189b46a4510109c9fce13e24f4055dfbe0804e47f08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Under | 75c | 13,395$10,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 9,677$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.67 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 8,038$6,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.07 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 23c | 6,735$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.55 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 21c | 6,423$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.01 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 22c | 4,926$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.71 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 32c | 2,957$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.9 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 70c | 2,175$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.39 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 25c | 1,350$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 32c | 1,152$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.77 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 8c | 1,103$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 77c | 966$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.78 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 78c | 705.13$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.13 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 25c | 682$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 20c | 355.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 80c | 306.97$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 78c | 263.97$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 68c | 240$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Over | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5881…ca26backed Under | 78c | 177.9$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 31c | 161.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 31c | 119.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 31c | 97.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 33c | 74.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Over | 30c | 73.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 30c | 69.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 31c | 54.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 68c | 49.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 32c | 48.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5d…9bdcbacked Under | 67c | 47.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +5.2wins | +0.34per pick | 59cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 68c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 63c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 69c | 39.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cd…cc1bbacked Under | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 77c | 21.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 3.5this page
- Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: Djurgardens IF O/U 0.5Over won
- Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: Djurgardens IF O/U 2.5Under won
- Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Degerfors IF (-1.5)Djurgardens IF won
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5)Degerfors IF won
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-2.5)Degerfors IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.