Mls · resolved market
D.C. United SC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9fcf3c9e8f4672e587eabadfb5ab651f2028fe0d557e0f59b83c369f8c942ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Over | 56c | 52,210$29,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,070.99 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 44c | 9,751$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,290.4 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 44c | 8,501$3,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740.66 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 6,705$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.75 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 55c | 4,111$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.18 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 4,000$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 53c | 3,541$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.29 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 2,739$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.38 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 45c | 2,500$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.04 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 45c | 2,500$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.04 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Under | 45c | 1,429$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.55 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.42per pick | 53cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Under | 43c | 1,350$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 55c | 1,283$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.5 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 46c | 1,055$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.77 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 44c | 785.43$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.59 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 46c | 699.44$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.59 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 77c | 651.16$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 45c | 575.31$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.35 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 44c | 564.29$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.29 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 41c | 547.15$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7be…4b60backed Under | 45c | 438.72$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 44c | 432.7$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.39 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 37c | 419.74$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.92 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 43c | 407$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.01 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Under | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 45c | 384.19$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.14 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 45c | 361.98$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.42 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 62c | 356.9$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.28 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Under | 44c | 292.5$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.7 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 42c | 290$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.36 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 44c | 288$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 256$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 47c | 240$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 55c | 217.13$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.34 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 48c | 201$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 49c | 189.08$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 44c | 186.74$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 56c | 179$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 48c | 169.94$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 44c | 165.17$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.82 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 165$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 44c | 156.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 56c | 150.71$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 72c | 138.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 44c | 138$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 30c | 137.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.53 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 48c | 130$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 44c | 111.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 48c | 109.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Over | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +72%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 53c | 94.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 18c | 92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 44c | 87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 85.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 41c | 85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 44c | 80.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 55c | 79.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 46c | 71.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 46c | 63.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Under | 44c | 58.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 44c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 69c | 55.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 44c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed Under | 44c | 52.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…1c42backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 44c | 45.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09cd…9502backed Under | 44c | 43.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 44c | 43.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 44c | 41.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 43c | 40.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…f069backed Under | 47c | 37.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 44c | 37.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 52c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6e…2c9bbacked Under | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…03cebacked Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…2d60backed Under | 44c | 29.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 44c | 26.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 52c | 25.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 44c | 25.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Over | 57c | 23.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 49c | 21.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 78c | 21.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- D.C. United SC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 2.5this page
- D.C. United SC vs. Toronto FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- D.C. United SC vs. Toronto FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- D.C. United SC vs. Toronto FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- D.C. United SC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- D.C. United SC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- D.C. United SC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- D.C. United SC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: D.C. United SC (-1.5)Toronto FC won
- Spread: D.C. United SC (-2.5)Toronto FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.