MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4317e5914c5ccf61a837fc7222703bf1044d55002aa135e5c39e455b7d5594b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $248,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 54c | 62,313$33,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,744.07 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Under | 50c | 26,500$13,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,267.2 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 22,363$10,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,360.07 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Over | 46c | 19,972$9,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,187.29 | 189 | 59.8%113 W · 76 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +236.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 11,573$5,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,417.62 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 11,109$5,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,360.17 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…b16bbacked Under | 60c | 10,577$6,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,239.03 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Under | 50c | 10,000$4,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,007.54 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 9,627$4,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,813.72 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Under | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.91 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 46c | 4,995$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.98 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 3,984$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.69 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 3,521$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.72 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 3,142$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.34 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Over | 49c | 3,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.99 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 2,786$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.66 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 44c | 2,281$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.55 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 51c | 2,162$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.55 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 45c | 2,145$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.25 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 48c | 1,864$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.18 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 51c | 1,840$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.31 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Under | 55c | 1,660$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.98 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 49c | 1,616$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 51c | 1,601$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.52 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.06 | 792 | 47.5%376 W · 416 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 50c | 1,222$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 46c | 1,207$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.44 | 411 | 41.4%170 W · 241 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 1,110$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.37 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 50c | 1,071$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.79 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 51c | 958$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.58 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 46c | 802$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.74 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 49c | 795.65$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.98 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 761$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.06 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Over | 43c | 752.72$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.67 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -14.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 750$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 44c | 699.47$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.64 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 50c | 686$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.14 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 50c | 635.2$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.6 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 47c | 596.83$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.99 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 589$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.61 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 22c | 587.63$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.43 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 532.8$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.33 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 22c | 525.79$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 55c | 515.43$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.65 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 45c | 503$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.35 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 474.55$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.53 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 37c | 464.17$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.19 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 52c | 463.29$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.91 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 42c | 426$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.92 | 481 | 45.3%218 W · 263 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 48c | 412.18$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.85 | 240 | 59.2%142 W · 98 L | +18.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Under | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 47c | 353.63$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.92 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 46c | 345.83$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.23 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 44c | 237.48$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.49 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 41c | 226.4$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.83 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 46c | 217.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 53c | 207.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 15c | 198$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…0f99backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 46c | 177$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 455 | 45.7%208 W · 247 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Under | 41c | 162.64$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 60c | 158$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 39c | 154.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Over | 46c | 152.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Over | 46c | 152.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 46c | 150.18$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 51c | 150$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 51c | 134.06$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 1,026 | 58.1%596 W · 430 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Over | 42c | 128.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Over | 18c | 120.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 47c | 111.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 754 | 53.2%401 W · 353 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 45c | 108.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 52c | 108$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 61c | 105.72$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 119 | 62.2%74 W · 45 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…dc39backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Over | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Over | 52c | 96.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Over | 46c | 95.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 31c | 92.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 59c | 86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 47c | 85.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Over | 41c | 80.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 141 | 64.5%91 W · 50 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Over | 49c | 79.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Over | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 366 | 50.8%186 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York MetsLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.