TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$230,692
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$248,566

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,692 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under54c62,313$33,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,744.071,41449.5%700 W · 714 L-4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe55a…ecf7backed Under50c26,500$13,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,267.23946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over46c22,363$10,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,360.074,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Over46c19,972$9,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,187.2918959.8%113 W · 76 L+14.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+236.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c11,573$5,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,417.621,58648.5%770 W · 816 L-2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over48c11,109$5,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,360.1710,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2a0…b16bbacked Under60c10,577$6,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,239.039643.8%42 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked Under50c10,000$4,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,007.542860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over50c9,627$4,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,813.726,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8239…d9a3backed Under55c9,091$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,090.918666.3%57 W · 29 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70059549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3001,30150.2%653 W · 648 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over46c4,995$2,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,272.983,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over47c3,984$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.692,31151%1,179 W · 1,132 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c3,521$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.726,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under53c3,142$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.3411,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over49c3,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.9916948.5%82 W · 87 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c2,786$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.668,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17575248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over44c2,281$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.553,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over51c2,162$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.552,58861.5%1,591 W · 997 L+72.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over45c2,145$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.251,63549.3%806 W · 829 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over48c1,864$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.182,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over51c1,840$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.3173949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under55c1,660$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.9836246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over49c1,616$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80064752.4%339 W · 308 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under51c1,601$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.521,88453%998 W · 886 L+16.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over46c1,304$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011752.1%61 W · 56 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under50c1,300$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.0679247.5%376 W · 416 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over50c1,222$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6111,35850.8%690 W · 668 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over46c1,207$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.4441141.4%170 W · 241 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under49c1,110$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.374,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over50c1,071$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.7957053.3%304 W · 266 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50049358.8%290 W · 203 L+30.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over51c958$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.581,73749.1%852 W · 885 L+7.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Over46c802$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.7422448.7%109 W · 115 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over49c795.65$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.988,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over46c761$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.061,53848.6%747 W · 791 L-5.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked Over43c752.72$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.6710031%31 W · 69 L-14.0wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-35%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c750$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.55,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over44c699.47$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.641,84849.6%917 W · 931 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over50c686$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.1487850.5%443 W · 435 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over50c635.2$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.648150.7%244 W · 237 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over47c596.83$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.9996553%511 W · 454 L+18.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under51c589$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.614,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over22c587.63$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4352750.1%264 W · 263 L+19.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c532.8$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.3312,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over22c525.79$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.728,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under55c515.43$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.6528154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Over45c503$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.3547745.7%218 W · 259 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under51c474.55$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.534,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over37c464.17$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.191,93941.2%799 W · 1,140 L-30.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Over52c463.29$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.9141048.3%198 W · 212 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over42c426$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.9248145.3%218 W · 263 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over48c412.18$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8524059.2%142 W · 98 L+18.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Under61c409.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.841,21540.5%492 W · 723 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over47c353.63$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.921,79750.4%906 W · 891 L-1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over46c345.83$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.231,21953.9%657 W · 562 L+32.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over44c237.48$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.492,09351.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L+44.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over41c226.4$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8355645.3%252 W · 304 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Over46c217.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over53c207.56$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.013,84142.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011041.8%46 W · 64 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over15c198$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.664,40544.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L+80.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe176…0f99backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.195040%20 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over46c177$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4245545.7%208 W · 247 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Under41c162.64$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6655448.2%267 W · 287 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over60c158$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.831844%140 W · 178 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over39c154.38$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.79,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Over46c152.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7022450%112 W · 112 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Over46c152.07$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.959956.6%56 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Over46c150.18$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0848851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over51c150$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.21,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under51c134.06$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.691,02658.1%596 W · 430 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Over42c128.57$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.588943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Over18c120.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8212050.8%61 W · 59 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607761%47 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over47c111.11$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2275453.2%401 W · 353 L+23.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015953.5%85 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Over45c108.42$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7929141.6%121 W · 170 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under52c108$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.841,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x369e…d016backed Under61c105.72$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7211962.2%74 W · 45 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae8c…dc39backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502040%8 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4484651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4478550.2%394 W · 391 L+2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498045%36 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over47c99.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.122,41349.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L+22.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Over46c97.83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4528553%151 W · 134 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7aa…abe3backed Over52c96.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7535149.3%173 W · 178 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Over46c95.74$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.049649%47 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over31c92.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.571,85544%817 W · 1,038 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under59c86$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.261,81949.3%896 W · 923 L-24.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over47c85.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.992,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d91…3578backed Over41c80.49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3314164.5%91 W · 50 L+11.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.616135.4%57 W · 104 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0a…b267backed Over49c79.19$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3912254.9%67 W · 55 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Over46c76.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516643.4%72 W · 94 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over50c76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3836650.8%186 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.