MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16463cc9709f3e2434d2517fb1f1cc668c662d4309938521b3bbb5ac9fc49f0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Los Angeles Dodgers, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 54c | 22,496$12,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,347.46 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 16,980$7,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,829.2 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc163…aed8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 7,609$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets | 71c | 3,574$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.11 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 54c | 1,996$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.62 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 28c | 1,542$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.5 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed New York Mets | 53c | 1,232$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.21 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 24c | 803.22$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.28 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc472…b96cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 801.79$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 28c | 781.71$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.88 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 622.99$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.73 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 573$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.59 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…fcf8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 521.43$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed New York Mets | 53c | 504$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 488.91$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.01 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 54c | 466.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.31 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838f…a741backed New York Mets | 74c | 460$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked New York Mets | 47c | 454.81$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.38 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed New York Mets | 54c | 438.99$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.47 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 13c | 350.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 592 | 52.7%312 W · 280 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed New York Mets | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 28c | 289.39$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 1,022 | 50.6%517 W · 505 L | +54.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ed…e7a4backed New York Mets | 55c | 284$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…fb00backed New York Mets | 54c | 281.42$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 250.25$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.23 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed New York Mets | 30c | 250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 881 | 53.7%473 W · 408 L | +40.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a4…ad72backed New York Mets | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed New York Mets | 55c | 216.36$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed New York Mets | 17c | 147.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.05 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 147$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked New York Mets | 55c | 142$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f4…dc3ebacked New York Mets | 55c | 141.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x916a…a570backed New York Mets | 55c | 141.82$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed New York Mets | 55c | 119.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 116.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 113.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 59c | 110$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e78…fb29backed New York Mets | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 49c | 103.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 28c | 102.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 570 | 58.4%333 W · 237 L | +27.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Mets | 52c | 97.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 85.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 80.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets | 75c | 72.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Mets | 53c | 66.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed New York Mets | 53c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 61.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…31bfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 47.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5c…e56ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 28c | 47.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed New York Mets | 25c | 46.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 45.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f8…5de2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 39.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed New York Mets | 52c | 36.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed New York Mets | 54c | 33.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…cc57backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 30.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked New York Mets | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked New York Mets | 43c | 28.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 906 | 69.9%633 W · 273 L | +94.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 27.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed New York Mets | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York MetsLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.