MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd07a04b2260493c1be5e82a230c0dd948acb3bd358ddb73f518de623accc763
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 13,305$7,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,090.59 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 62c | 11,059$6,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,257.09 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 10,698$4,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,779.73 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 62c | 6,584$4,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.07 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 33c | 4,772$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.19 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 37c | 2,500$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.39 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked Over | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 39c | 1,982$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.46 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Under | 60c | 1,825$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.53 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 43c | 1,608$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.48 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 38c | 1,389$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.99 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 40c | 1,368$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.48 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 38c | 1,326$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.14 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 38c | 1,209$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.6 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 62c | 1,182$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.55 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Under | 64c | 1,172$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.88 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 25c | 1,169$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.45 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 57c | 1,154$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.78 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 64c | 1,065$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.4 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 40c | 915.49$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.46 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 856.01$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.82 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 38c | 781.81$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.05 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 66c | 736.87$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.54 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 38c | 577$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.26 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Over | 38c | 550.63$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.24 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 41c | 485.43$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.41 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Over | 4c | 445.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 37c | 436.55$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.75 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 38c | 423.35$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.87 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…bb4ebacked Under | 62c | 423.35$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.87 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Under | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 41c | 344.28$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.03 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 58c | 341.74$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.53 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over | 38c | 281.04$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.01 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 37c | 277$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 79c | 266.54$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 38c | 263.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 38c | 209.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.09 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 39c | 209.01$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Under | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 41c | 194.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Under | 72c | 190.46$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…0f99backed Under | 66c | 189.47$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 38c | 184.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Over | 38c | 184.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 55c | 179.71$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 36c | 172.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 39c | 159.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 38c | 157$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 70c | 151$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Under | 65c | 144$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 43c | 124.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 38c | 118.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 71c | 114.85$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 38c | 111.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Over | 38c | 105.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 58c | 101.45$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 23c | 99.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 63c | 89.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Under | 63c | 87.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 185 | 56.2%104 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…5043backed Under | 56c | 71.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Over | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 38c | 67.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 67.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe4…cec5backed Over | 38c | 64.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 39c | 61.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bed…c30bbacked Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 28c | 55.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b44…fcfcbacked Under | 62c | 54.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 39c | 46.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Over | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84e…b520backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Over | 37c | 43.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 38c | 42.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Over | 40c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…a7d2backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Under | 63c | 34.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Under | 63c | 33.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…cc57backed Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0477…631cbacked Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 42c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 63c | 29.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 62c | 28.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 56c | 28.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 39c | 28.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…776fbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74d5…1ca9backed Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 63c | 17.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York MetsLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.