TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,568
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,568 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c13,305$7,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,090.5910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under62c11,059$6,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,257.091,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over45c10,698$4,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,779.7311,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under62c6,584$4,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,502.074,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over33c4,772$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.192,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over37c2,500$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.395,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked Over38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7601225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-49.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over39c1,982$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.466,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Under60c1,825$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.5317951.4%92 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over43c1,608$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.4833852.7%178 W · 160 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over38c1,389$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.9977647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50087750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over40c1,368$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.4895252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over38c1,326$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.142,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over38c1,209$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.640341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under62c1,182$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.554,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under64c1,172$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.8823357.9%135 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over25c1,169$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.458,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under57c1,154$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.7868053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over36c1,111$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40064452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under64c1,065$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.41,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over40c915.49$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.461,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c856.01$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.828,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over38c781.81$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.051,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under66c736.87$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.5411464%73 W · 41 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Over38c577$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.2622448.7%109 W · 115 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Over38c550.63$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.249956.6%56 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over41c485.43$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.4156851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over4c445.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6112924.8%32 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over37c436.55$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.751,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over38c423.35$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.876,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe75c…bb4ebacked Under62c423.35$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.872176.2%16 W · 5 L+4.8wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+42.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Under64c390.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6328152%146 W · 135 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over41c344.28$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0352750.1%264 W · 263 L+19.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under58c341.74$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.5323758.6%139 W · 98 L+16.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over38c281.04$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.014452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over37c277$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4956253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under79c266.54$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.82,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Over38c263.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over38c209.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.092,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over39c209.01$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.84,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a49…651abacked Under63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7423052.6%121 W · 109 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031844%140 W · 178 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Under64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727746.8%36 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over41c194.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.031,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Under72c190.46$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4555448.2%267 W · 287 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe176…0f99backed Under66c189.47$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.474940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Over38c184.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0153655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Over38c184.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0122450%112 W · 112 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under55c179.71$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.871,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over36c172.42$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0739948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Over39c159.13$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5748851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over38c157$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.113345.9%61 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under70c151$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.971,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5499447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over42c150$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6388053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Under65c144$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.514943.6%65 W · 84 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over43c124.67$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.162,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Over38c118.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0146255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under71c114.85$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.795,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over38c111.11$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2273653%390 W · 346 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Over38c105.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0128553%151 W · 134 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under58c101.45$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.044,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked Under63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379554.7%52 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over23c99.61$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.482,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under63c89.71$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2455645.3%252 W · 304 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed Under63c87.3$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.318556.2%104 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over38c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.416135.4%57 W · 104 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea5…26e3backed Under64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1319454.6%106 W · 88 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765b…5043backed Under56c71.12$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.126546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Over41c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.712050.8%61 W · 59 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over38c67.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.522,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c67.41$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe4…cec5backed Over38c64.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over39c61.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bed…c30bbacked Over30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.258153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over28c55.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.62,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b44…fcfcbacked Under62c54.68$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.781566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over39c46.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0634139.9%136 W · 205 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x927c…a79abacked Over40c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84e…b520backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205442.6%23 W · 31 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Over37c43.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.428234.1%28 W · 54 L-10.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over38c42.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0634846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x787b…86c3backed Over40c39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.497243.1%31 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c1f…a7d2backed Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.712339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Under63c34.92$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9218855.3%104 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad99…dbabbacked Under63c33.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3413048.5%63 W · 67 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x847e…cc57backed Over47c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0413554.8%74 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0477…631cbacked Under64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2517155.6%95 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.778854.6%430 W · 358 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over42c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.453151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under63c29.02$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6452955.6%294 W · 235 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Under62c28.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8616539.4%65 W · 100 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under56c28.48$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5342448.1%204 W · 220 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over39c28.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1587370.1%612 W · 261 L+91.6wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+14.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c6c…776fbacked Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-42.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74d5…1ca9backed Under61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.593148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under63c17.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.411,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.