Asian League · resolved market
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaba930305b5f6f4006e2f545561f0fbc672b2921532b5e6f88a25d61d447056d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 2,755$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.19 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 2,700$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.88 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 18c | 1,913$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.96 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 77c | 1,696$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.14 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 5c | 1,040$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Over | 2c | 944.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 36c | 795.7$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.72 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Over | 7c | 716$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Over | 67c | 684.78$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.48 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 32c | 671.91$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.08 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 59c | 610.88$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.26 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 605.9$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.51 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 61c | 600$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.4 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…7832backed Over | 63c | 555.4$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 33c | 499.97$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.98 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 38c | 498.48$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.17 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Under | 77c | 490$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 51c | 399.98$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.49 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 49c | 380.82$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.79 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 37c | 253.96$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.36 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Under | 37c | 235$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.05 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 36c | 232.1$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.54 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 32c | 227$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.36 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 37c | 225.08$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.8 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 37c | 224.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 35c | 199.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Over | 64c | 185.43$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 52c | 173.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 59c | 169.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 59c | 169.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Over | 66c | 151.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 63c | 147.53$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.65 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 36c | 140$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 37c | 139.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 62c | 118.81$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 61c | 113.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Under | 45c | 88.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 82.5%52 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 38c | 83.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 57c | 69.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 64c | 67.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 63c | 60.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 56c | 50.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…078bbacked Under | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 47c | 44.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 49c | 42.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 61c | 41.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 43c | 40.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 41c | 38.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Over | 58c | 36.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Over | 47c | 36.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 47c | 35.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 62c | 31.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 58c | 30.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…216abacked Over | 60c | 29.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Over | 61c | 23.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…4591backed Over | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Over | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 63c | 18.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Qingdao Xihaian FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.