Asian League · resolved market
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x849af2bb89e3118b4ed60a2fd9f265b840b71a40066c23d432235be8d3df35ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 2,262$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.84 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 36c | 2,162$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.63 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 35c | 1,050$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 32c | 851.72$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.55 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 45c | 799.1$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.35 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 62c | 320.38$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.24 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 65c | 257.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.69 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 79c | 250.86$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 62c | 236.42$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.79 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 37c | 224.94$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.46 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 63c | 200.56$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 17c | 199.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 35c | 192.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.27 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 66c | 178.62$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.89 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x924c…fc41backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 20c | 106$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 63c | 98.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 64c | 90.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Yes | 60c | 83.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 79.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 78.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 30c | 78.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 63c | 76.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 65c | 75.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 35c | 70.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 37c | 49.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d4…16a1backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 38c | 44.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 63c | 42.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Yes | 51c | 35.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 51c | 33.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…dc22backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 62c | 30.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 66c | 28.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 72cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Qingdao Xihaian FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.