TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,321
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,502

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,321 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c1,921$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.072,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under58c1,898$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7983842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under18c1,800$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.941,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over49c1,500$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.163447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over62c1,258$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.282,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over49c1,099$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.1810837%40 W · 68 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under15c978.38$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.9838849.5%192 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef04…f6e3backed Under75c945.53$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-47.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under15c917.38$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.3639649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f39…311abacked Over45c899.99$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4052445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+80%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under45c671.12$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.122857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over70c624.65$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.155,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over9c594.78$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8734847.4%165 W · 183 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under16c500$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.3435751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over55c499.97$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.995444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under53c468$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9612639.7%50 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Over50c404.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.453630.6%11 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-43.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Under67c383.32$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.46757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under73c361.56$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.672,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over9c317.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304621.7%10 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Under17c300$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.2814310.5%15 W · 128 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under45c294.25$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.8389245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.226238.7%24 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Over50c208.32$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.163834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over33c203.22$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7892835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under48c195.25$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.669241.3%38 W · 54 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Under51c191.11$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.552458.3%14 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed Under14c185.37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.422065%13 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under15c169.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0853946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c168.48$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.131,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over28c155.02$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1721652.3%113 W · 103 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Under77c154.94$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.21955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Over72c152.36$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.886547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under57c150.83$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2437153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe198…8b53backed Under62c136.78$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x179f…f55ebacked Under40c129.9$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+149.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under14c117.85$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3514446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ea…b7afbacked Under58c116$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under80c100.31$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.061,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e0…7387backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+49.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over30c93.87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2825742%108 W · 149 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over38c83.46$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.041,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Over48c82.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.77037.1%26 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over27c82.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9742625.8%110 W · 316 L-33.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x19ca…501cbacked Under51c76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb81…c34ebacked Over49c75.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x847b…bf37backed Under36c75$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e10…625cbacked Over64c75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3524…cfc0backed Over44c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f3f…c0afbacked Under56c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…a676backed Over42c66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under75c64.88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.22977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f9…c398backed Under34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55cd…c71fbacked Over66c59.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over50c58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298645.3%39 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over53c56.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8477056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe96b…c98bbacked Under54c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7950…ce58backed Over46c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c08…cb9bbacked Under39c52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7598…9da3backed Over61c51.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under79c51.63$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8469352.2%362 W · 331 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47d4…2414backed Under30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0de4backed Over69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3906…1206backed Over41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea3b…0b1ebacked Over55c44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31f2…5f46backed Under45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb363…7bdfbacked Over58c42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc332…aef2backed Under50c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1224…6e27backed Over50c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…88fcbacked Under42c42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under80c41.25$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.455740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f78…3546backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc986…1654backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over51c36.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.296237.1%23 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ccf…3f09backed Under54c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa007…7ea5backed Over46c35.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90f2…e4f6backed Under34c34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0055…0849backed Over66c34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x966a…d469backed Under33c33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70e1…86a1backed Over67c33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Under65c32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.213666.2%90 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3719…4f57backed Over64c32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x305a…67c1backed Under51c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ea…7d2fbacked Over49c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6d2…1ce6backed Under36c32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Under62c29.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.997356.2%41 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb262…9b98backed Over68c27.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193345.5%15 W · 18 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb524…0bd8backed Over42c26.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over50c25.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9156445.4%256 W · 308 L-25.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.753574.3%26 W · 9 L+8.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+52.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x3883…5367backed Over49c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd28…4eb1backed Under51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Over73c24.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.862944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under50c21.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9226348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024548.6%119 W · 126 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over72c18.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0331960.2%192 W · 127 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.