TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Qingdao Xihaian FC O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,770
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,925

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,770 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under63c723$455 inWon+$267.511,61736.3%587 W · 1,030 L-34.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over37c658.48$244 inLost-$243.642,39737.8%905 W · 1,492 L-3.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under65c306.83$199 inWon+$107.391,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over38c235.2$88 inLost-$88.325,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Under65c166$108 inWon+$58.13641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-24.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Over35c120$42 inLost-$4214752.4%77 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8509…fd97backed Over35c88.1$31 inLost-$313815.8%6 W · 32 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-47.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under65c79.97$52 inWon+$27.9932154.2%174 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over35c78.32$27 inLost-$27.411,95954.6%1,069 W · 890 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over35c70.18$25 inLost-$24.5612542.4%53 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over31c64.52$20 inLost-$208645.3%39 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under64c30.11$19 inWon+$10.841,10946.2%512 W · 597 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under58c20.19$12 inWon+$8.4815826.6%42 W · 116 L-13.5wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.