South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CF América (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5606c3e2faec37291c9e3de454684b566046277e1054a39ffac886a86f75e4bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlante FCof CF América, Atlante FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed CF América | 38c | 16,386$6,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,147.96 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Atlante FC | 53c | 11,686$6,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,470.83 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed CF América | 42c | 8,246$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.69 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Atlante FC | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked CF América | 37c | 2,692$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.14 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Atlante FC | 63c | 1,804$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.41 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Atlante FC | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.06 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Atlante FC | 57c | 1,381$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.71 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlante FC | 63c | 1,179$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.46 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Atlante FC | 63c | 900$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Atlante FC | 63c | 806$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.35 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Atlante FC | 63c | 806$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.35 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Atlante FC | 65c | 805.09$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.22 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca96…7125backed Atlante FC | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Atlante FC | 62c | 771.01$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.98 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Atlante FC | 50c | 597.04$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.9 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Atlante FC | 70c | 541$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Atlante FC | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Atlante FC | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Atlante FC | 62c | 459.89$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.47 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlante FC | 63c | 381.71$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.74 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked CF América | 41c | 345.59$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.1 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed CF América | 51c | 295.95$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.93 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed Atlante FC | 70c | 283.65$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +147.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Atlante FC | 64c | 266.47$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Atlante FC | 59c | 248.81$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.55 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Atlante FC | 62c | 245.33$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.02 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed CF América | 41c | 238.19$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.35 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked CF América | 41c | 234$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked CF América | 46c | 147.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Atlante FC | 64c | 146.8$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Atlante FC | 63c | 140$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CF América | 32c | 138$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Atlante FC | 47c | 126.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlante FC | 62c | 125.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed CF América | 28c | 125.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked CF América | 28c | 122.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Atlante FC | 63c | 119.62$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Atlante FC | 63c | 113.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b44…fcfcbacked CF América | 36c | 109.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Atlante FC | 66c | 101.11$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c39…00b1backed Atlante FC | 63c | 98.95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Atlante FC | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked CF América | 43c | 93.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked CF América | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Atlante FC | 63c | 83.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked CF América | 49c | 80.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed CF América | 34c | 75.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked CF América | 50c | 67.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Atlante FC | 51c | 64.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Atlante FC | 63c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Atlante FC | 64c | 61.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Atlante FC | 79c | 60.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Atlante FC | 63c | 49.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed92…fbf2backed Atlante FC | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlante FC | 68c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Atlante FC | 65c | 34.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed CF América | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked CF América | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Atlante FC | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…b7d4backed Atlante FC | 66c | 25.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…03cebacked Atlante FC | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Atlante FC | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…078bbacked Atlante FC | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Atlante FC | 61c | 23.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Atlante FC | 60c | 20.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -7.4wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Atlante FC | 65c | 16.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Atlante FC | 64c | 15.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CF América (-1.5)this page
- Atlante FC vs. CF América: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlante FC vs. CF América: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. CF América: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. CF América: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atlante FC vs. CF América: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Atlante FC vs. CF América: CF América O/U 1.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. CF América: CF América O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. CF América: O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlante FC vs. CF América: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlante FC vs. CF América: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. CF América: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. CF América: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. CF América: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlante FC (-1.5)CF América won
- Spread: CF América (-2.5)Atlante FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.