South American Leagues · resolved market
Atlante FC vs. CF América: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4091dbb3803dd301c8f397e41c05f28894848b4a899bc2690c0355f734f2e72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 2,361$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.98 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 2,108$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.85 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 49c | 986.55$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.02 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed No | 3c | 697.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 51c | 493.02$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.59 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 51c | 484.61$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.3 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 51c | 293.37$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.34 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…c41ebacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 194.68$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 50c | 159.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 52c | 143.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 47c | 131.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 49c | 128.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 23c | 122.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 49c | 95.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 51c | 74.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 51c | 74.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 58c | 70.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 50c | 70.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 50c | 65.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 45c | 59.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 53c | 58.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 56c | 42.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 58c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked No | 50c | 40.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 58c | 38.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…ed4ebacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…05c8backed Yes | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 38c | 28.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 51c | 24.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed No | 50c | 22.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked No | 51c | 22.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -7.4wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x07db…29e4backed Yes | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 52c | 20.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlante FC vs. CF América: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Atlante FC vs. CF América: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlante FC vs. CF América: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. CF América: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. CF América: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Atlante FC vs. CF América: CF América O/U 1.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. CF América: CF América O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. CF América: O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlante FC vs. CF América: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlante FC vs. CF América: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. CF América: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. CF América: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlante FC vs. CF América: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlante FC (-1.5)CF América won
- Spread: CF América (-1.5)Atlante FC won
- Spread: CF América (-2.5)Atlante FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.