Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Durham vs Sussex
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a23987631fd90178c402fee64967273e91b5c4f5f97cb611f3f8d6bf1a90a58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Durhamof Durham, Sussex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sussex | 19c | 5,816$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.74 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed Sussex | 15c | 1,100$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Sussex | 5c | 900$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Sussex | 21c | 828.29$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.01 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Sussex | 15c | 360.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 81 | 13.6%11 W · 70 L | -12.7wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x06b3…1fd0backed Durham | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Durham | 70c | 277.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.07 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Sussex | 16c | 275.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Sussex | 20c | 264$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sussex | 11c | 228.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sussex | 19c | 223.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Sussex | 17c | 221.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Sussex | 20c | 196.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Sussex | 20c | 177.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…8d08backed Durham | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 199 | 58.8%117 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Sussex | 12c | 145.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Sussex | 20c | 142$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…cc7bbacked Durham | 79c | 135$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Sussex | 18c | 117.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…9da2backed Sussex | 14c | 113.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Durham | 78c | 109.05$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Sussex | 20c | 82.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Durham | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…078bbacked Sussex | 31c | 78.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Sussex | 32c | 69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Sussex | 16c | 65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sussex | 34c | 54.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Sussex | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0491…7f72backed Sussex | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…2cccbacked Durham | 72c | 29.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Durham | 73c | 17.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…47ebbacked Durham | 79c | 15.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.