Mls · resolved market
St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ffe41a9f3727cd4ae2acb647694c7008326216ae36c231a7029f8915b80c1a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 58c | 41,938$24,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,218.83 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 9,458$3,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,502.16 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 42c | 9,200$3,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,328 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 43c | 4,672$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.56 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 42c | 4,000$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 23c | 2,905$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.82 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 2,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.54 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 42c | 2,500$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.01 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 22c | 2,482$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.48 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 1,887$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.39 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Under | 41c | 1,873$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.83 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 71c | 1,690$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.14 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 42c | 1,484$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.47 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 42c | 1,080$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.39 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.6wins | +0.40per pick | 46cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 67c | 939.25$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.56 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 58c | 861.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 58c | 861.96$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.94 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 58c | 861.96$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.94 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 42c | 682$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.61 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 50c | 666$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 42c | 579.08$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.92 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 5c | 535$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed Under | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 5c | 298.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 42c | 237.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 43c | 219.96$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.74 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 43c | 79.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 42c | 78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 42c | 69.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 57c | 66.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 56c | 63.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 60c | 63.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 43c | 53.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 37c | 52.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 42c | 48.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 43c | 39.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 43c | 39.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…078bbacked Under | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -66%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 58c | 34.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 57c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…a6b4backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 43c | 25.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 43c | 24.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2a…4214backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-1.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-2.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: Colorado Rapids SC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.