Mls · resolved market
St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47a50db55236ee87890093ad87147da35b17a55902b12264af81c913bd0c1882
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 4c | 921.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 5c | 328.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 327.2$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.95 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 55c | 296.93$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.71 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…3cc1backed Under | 39c | 258.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…5297backed Over | 45c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 69c | 150.18$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 14c | 128$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 44c | 124.02$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Over | 70c | 83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Over | 70c | 83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Over | 69c | 83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 49c | 82.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Over | 54c | 73.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 32c | 59.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 55c | 59.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 54c | 36.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 61c | 33.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 56c | 18.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 76c | 18.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0255…4eb0backed Over | 75c | 18.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-1.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-2.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: Colorado Rapids SC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.